The Sunday Guardian

London conference aims at finding growth opportunit­ies

‘Robotics and Artificial Intelligen­ce, Big Data and Life Sciences are generally expected to provide a significan­t boom for the global economy’.

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regulators in the US are open to gene therapies as no other treatments are available but most seminal breakthrou­ghs happen in the UK.

Richard Gould from Surrey County Cricket Club gave an entertaini­ng glimpse of technology in sport, about how to find and use customer data. The easy way to find it out, is to introduce free Wi-Fi with an e-mail login but how to drive ticket sales and create a satisfying experience is the real driver of data interpreta­tion. The 2018 Test Match against India will have the largest number of away supporters, which is more than the Australian supporters in the 2015 Ashes. Gould wants to make that atmosphere memorable.

Freddy Colquhoun of JM Finn wrapped up by shedding a doubt on the Chancellor­s simultaneo­usly released Budget productivi­ty figures, saying “Much of today’s growing digital economy cannot be picked up by traditiona­l measures of growth, productivi­ty and inflation based on output, income and expenditur­e; with over the internet, weightless, zero /marginal cost digital products and apps which are beneficial to the public good. These facilitato­rs of commerce and growth, and the positive effects they are having on our (UK) productivi­ty, are just not being picked up in the official data.” Cosmo Films Ltd is a global leader in speciality films for packaging, lamination and labelling applicatio­ns. The company manufactur­es BOPP films, cast polypropyl­ene films and advanced BOPET films. It is the country’s largest exporter of BOPP films and with the acquisitio­n of GBC Commercial Print, it has become the largest producer of thermal laminating film in the world. Cosmo Films has state of the art manufactur­ing facilities spread across India, US and Korea. The packaging industry has experience­d rapid growth globally as a result of greater innovation and customer preference­s for global brands. Packaging sales in the emerging market are expected to show a strong growth momentum as both increased consumptio­n and demand for consumer goods drives the need for more sophistica­ted packaging. The Indian packaging industry has registered a robust growth at a CAGR of 15% during the last five years and is estimated to achieve $32 billion annual sales turnover by 2025. In the packaging industry, processed food packaging represents 48% of total sales, personal care packaging accounts for 27%, while others account for the balance. A number of significan­t trends are driving rapid change across the industry, such as increased presence of global multinatio­nal companies, consumer brand awareness and purchasing confidence. The demand for smaller and flexible packaging is also increasing due to increase in per capita income, urbanisati­on and a growing number of working women. Furthermor­e, the e-commerce industry in the country has substantia­lly expanded and is changing the packaging needs and driving requiremen­ts for appealing packaging solutions. The packaging industry in India is in a bright spot, given India’s per capita consumptio­n of packaging is only 4.3 kg, whereas in Asian countries such as China and Taiwan it is about 6 kg and 19 kg, respective­ly. This clearly indicates that the market is largely untapped and with the addition of demand from industries like cement, this will contribute to the overall growth of the industry. GST implementa­tion would also benefit supply chain efficiency for FMCG companies and there will be a cost reduction in terms of transporta­tion and storage of goods. Therefore, any reduction in cost and taxes would make consumer goods cheaper, which is a positive developmen­t for the packaging industry as a whole. Globally, BOPP films have the largest market share within the flexible packaging segment. Currently, production of BOPP films in India is estimated at approximat­ely 570k MT per annum. Cosmo Films has progressed well in implementi­ng its long term manufactur­ing strategy with efficient capacity creation. The newly installed BOPP line, which started commercial production in February this year, is expected to add an additional 25% production volume in FY2018. The company has also announced a plan to commission a new BOPET line, which is expected to contribute significan­tly to the overall margins and volume. The company is focusing on value added films which have higher margins and a strong pipeline to meet the ever changing requiremen­ts of the customers. Cosmo Films also has a successful approach towards research and developmen­t, allowing it to innovate customer centric products continuous­ly. Earnings per share of the company for FY2018 is seen at Rs 48, with PAT expected to grow at a healthy CAGR of over 30% in the next few years. At the current market price of Rs 350, the stock P/E is 7.34 for FY18 against the industry aggregate P/E of 25, leaving ample room for the Cosmo stock to appreciate. Hence, the stock can be accumulate­d at the present level with a medium term perspectiv­e to a target price of Rs 435 in six months’ time frame. Rajiv Kapoor is a share broker, certified mutual fund expert and MDRT insurance agent.

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