JDS set to play king­maker, say most exit polls

Most of the exit polls have pre­dicted that none of the three ma­jor po­lit­i­cal par­ties will be able to get a ma­jor­ity in the state.

The Sunday Guardian - - Nation -

For­mer Prime Min­is­ter H.D. Deve Gowda’s Janata Dal (Sec­u­lar) may turn out to be the king­maker in the Kar­nataka As­sem­bly. Most of the exit polls, which were out on Sat­ur­day evening, have pre­dicted that none of the three ma­jor po­lit­i­cal par­ties—Congress, BJP and the JDS—who con­tested the As­sem­bly elec­tions in the state, will be able to get a ma­jor­ity. How­ever, In­dia News-To­day’s Chanakya has pre­dicted a clear cut ma­jor­ity for the BJP with 120 seats.

Sin­gle-phase polling for the state As­sem­bly was held on Sat­ur­day, which saw a tough fight be­tween the rul­ing Congress and BJP. How­ever, JDS, ac­cord­ing to the exit polls, is ex­pected to fare well and there­fore may hold the key to for­ma­tion of the new gov­ern­ment in the state.

How­ever, sources said the BJP may be able to take the JDS on board and form the next gov­ern­ment tak­ing their sup­port if it falls short of ma­jor­ity. “There­fore, a BJP-led gov­ern­ment, with JDS sup­port, is most likely to as­sume charge in Kar­nataka in case the exit poll pre­dic­tions turn out to be cor­rect. This will be a big blow to Rahul Gandhi, for whom it was the first elec­tion af­ter tak­ing charge of the Congress pres­i­dent. The re­sults will come as boost for the BJP ahead of 2019 Lok Sabha elec­tions, as Kar­nataka will be its gate­way to the South,” a source said.

Polling was held in 222 out of 224 con­stituen­cies on Sat­ur­day while the count­ing of votes will be held on 15 May (Tues­day) and re­sult de­clared the same day. In Ben­galuru’s Raja Ra­jesh­wari Na­gar con­stituency, polling has been post­poned to 28 May fol­low­ing the voter ID card case and coun­ter­manded in the city’s Jayana­gar seat fol­low­ing the death of BJP can­di­date B.N. Vi­jaya Ku­mar.

The NewsX-CNX exit poll pro­jec­tions, as de­picted by NewsX, NewsX HD and NewsX Kan­nada, in­di­cate that BJP may suc­cess­fully dethrone the rul­ing Congress. The exit poll pre­dicts that the BJP is set to bag 102 to 110, thereby for­ti­fy­ing its po­si­tion in the state. In the last elec­tions, the party had got 40 seats. The exit poll also in­di­cates that Congress is es­ti­mated to bag 72 to 78 seats, a vis­i­ble de­cline from the 2013 elec­tions, which it had won by win­ning 122 seats. JDS, on the other hand, is likely to get around 35 to 39 seats, while Oth­ers in the state are likely to get 3 to 5 seats.

As per the NewsX-CNX exit poll sur­vey, the Congress may get a to­tal of 33.75%, BJP can get 36.09%, JDS may get around 18.25%, while oth­ers may get some­where around 11.91% votes.

How­ever, In­dia News-To- day’s Chanakya’s exit poll has pre­dicted a clear ma­jor­ity for the BJP with 120 seats. It has pre­dicted 73 seats for the Congress, 26 for JDS and 3 for oth­ers. Ac­cord­ing to the exit poll, BJP is likely to get 39% votes, Congress 36%, JDS 18%, while oth­ers may get 7% votes.

Repub­lic TV’s “Jan ki Baat” exit poll sug­gests that the BJP would emerge as the sin­gle largest party. Ac­cord­ing to the exit poll re­port, the BJP will get 95-114 seats, while the Congress will re­main con­fined to 73-82 seats. It has given 32-43 seats to the JDS.

The In­dia To­day-Axis My In­dia exit polls said the Congress is ex­pected to be the sin­gle largest party with 106-118 seats, the BJP is ex­pected to get 79-92 seats and JDS 22-30 seats. NDTV’s “poll of exit polls” pre­dicts that BJP would get 100 seats, fol­lowed by Congress (86), and JDS (33). Ac­cord­ing to News Na­tion, the Congress is likely to get 71-75 seats, BJP 105-109 and JDS 36-40 seat.

The Times Now-VMR exit poll also has pre­dicted a frac­tured man­date. It has given Congress 90- 103 seats to Congress, 80-93 seats to BJP and 31-39 seats to JDS. The exit poll had 6,872 re­spon­dents from all the re­gions of Kar­nataka, said Times Now. Ac­cord­ing to the ABP-C Voter exit poll, BJP is likely to emerge as the sin­gle largest party in Kar­nataka. The exit poll pre­dicts 101-113 seats for the BJP, 82-94 seats for Congress and 18-31 seats for JDS. It says other par­ties will get 1-8 seats. Ear­lier, vot­ing for the As­sem­bly polls ended at 6 pm on Sat­ur­day. The 11hour vot­ing process, which be­gan at 7 am, wit­nessed few glitches across the state with few elec­tronic vot­ing ma­chines mal­func­tion­ing in cer­tain con­stituen­cies, miss­ing names in the voter lists etc. Polling was held in 58,008 booths in the state which has 5.06 crore elec­torates.

NewsX exit poll.

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