The Sunday Guardian

GST data analytics makes it hard to escape mismatch in returns

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The data analytics used by the Goods and Services Tax Network (GSTN) has made it virtually impossible to escape any mismatch in filing GST return. Officials handling the GST network have detected mismatch in 34% of the total GST returns filed last year. The GST officials have slapped notices on all such business entities, asking them to explain the reason of underpayme­nt of GST made by them.

As per data analytics of the revenue department last month, 34% of businesses entities paid Rs 34,400 crore less tax between July-December last year while filing initial summary return (GSTR- 3B). These 34% of businesses entities have paid Rs 8.16 lakh crore to the exchequer by filing their initial summery return, whereas the data analysis of their GSTR-1 shows that their tax liability should have been Rs 8.50 lakh crore.

A senior GST official told The Sunday Guardian: “The promise of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) network to bring transparen­cy has finally started showing results as we have detected even small mismatches in GST return. There is no chance to escape the scrutiny of our data analytics.”

“We have issued system generated notices to all the 34,000 business entities, asking them to explain the reason for the mismatch in their returns. To answer this notice, the trader has been given a 30-day period that ends on 14 May 2018,” the same official cited above said.

The notice clearly states that if the respondent does not file a reply by 14 May, then the GST office would assume that the respondent has nothing to say and further legal proceeding­s can be initiated.

However, while GST officials say 30 days are enough to file a reply, traders are finding it very difficult to file their replies within 30 days.

Amit Kumar, a Delhi-based chartered accountant told The Sunday Guardian: “The data analytics of GST is so robust that it can detect even a small mismatch. One of my clients, a Delhi-based engineerin­g company, has received a notice from the tax depart- ment, stating that there was mismatch of Rs 300 in the return filed by my client and he was asked for an explanatio­n.”

“While data analytics is helping GST officials in checking any mismatch in GST returns, the system can increase the chances of more litigation, as even in cases of small mismatch,” Kumar said.

The GST, a new tax regime, was introduced last year which subsumed a host of indirect taxes like Central excise duty, state VAT, service tax, luxury tax, besides others.

According to the revenue department, during the fiscal year 2017-18, the total revenue collection­s under GST in the period between August 2017 and March 2018 have been Rs 7.19 lakh crore. The last financial year has been a particular­ly difficult one for the Indian spirits industry. Apart from the increase in duties and taxes, higher raw material costs without correspond­ing price increases, the Indian spirits industry faced many other challenges like demonetisa­tion, state level prohibitio­ns and national highway liquor ban. These uncontroll­able events in succession led to a slowdown in industry growth, but it has settled down in the last few months. Though GST will be positive for the developmen­t of the economy, it has medium term challenges for this particular industry. Even though alcohol has been kept out of GST purview, other input raw material costs are actually covered under GST and this may lead to slight pressures in operating margins. But this could be offset by growing volumes in spirit sales on the back of higher proportion of younger population entering the drinking age, greater acceptance to social drinking, higher disposable income and global spirit manufactur­ing companies identifyin­g India as one of their top consumer markets. A rapidly growing Indian economy is providing a fresh stimulus to the consumer sector and the country is expected to become the third largest consumer market in the world. Rapid urbanisati­on, rising affluence and changing consumer patterns towards better quality and lifestyle products are supposed to be the key growth drivers. Technology has been a key enabler across the complete supply chain, up to the delivery of the final product at the customer’s doorstep. Radico Khaitan is one of the oldest and largest manufactur­ers of “Indian Made Foreign Liquor” in the country, having commenced operations in 1943. The company has been a pioneer in setting industry trends with blue-chip large selling brands like 8PM Whisky, Magic Moments Vodka, Contessa Rum and Old Admiral Brandy, among many others. 8PM was their first brand launched in 1999, which managed to create a record of sort with a million cases in sales within a year of its launch. Apart from the flamboyant success of 8PM and Old Admiral Brandy, another of their successful hot selling brands is Magic Moments Vodka. The packaging is quite unique with a frosted bottle and a guitar shaped glass window and is a big hit with consumers. On the other hand, Contessa Rum with a prominent market share in its category sells largely to the Indian Army’s Canteen Store Department (CSD). Radico Khaitan is expected to show excellent financial results over the next few years, with the earnings per share expected to be over Rs 11.60 and Rs 14 for FY19 and FY20, respective­ly. Even the net sales and PAT are expected to grow at a CAGR of 20% to 25% over the next few years. The Radico Khaitan stock, currently quoting at Rs 395 on the Indian bourses, is an excellent fundamenta­l buy for the medium term, with a 25% price appreciati­on. Rajiv Kapoor is a share broker, certified mutual fund expert and MDRT insurance agent.

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