Irish Daily Mail

What could happen next... and what are the odds?

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IN JUNE, Boris Johnson claimed that the odds on Britain leaving the EU without a deal were ‘a million to one against’. They appear to have shortened since then. Bookmakers, including Betfair and Paddy Power, currently put the chances of No Deal at about 50-50, as does Germany’s Deutsche Bank. Whether or not Britain leaves the EU with a deal may depend on the result of any no-confidence vote in Johnson’s government. Bookies see this as highly likely, with the chances of it happening being put at 93%. Whether or not Johnson would survive such a vote seems less clearcut. So how likely are other scenarios, according to the odd-makers?

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