Irish Independent

Apocalypti­c volcanic eruption might be sooner than we think

- John von Radowitz

HUMAN civilisati­on is lucky to have escaped a volcanic super-eruption powerful enough to blast it back to the Stone Age.

New research suggests the average time between the cataclysmi­c events is much less than was thought.

Experts now believe the time interval to be only slightly longer than the age of civilisati­on, dating from the agricultur­al revolution 12,000 years ago.

Scientists have shown that super-eruptions, which can blanket an entire continent with volcanic ash and alter climate on a global scale, are capable of returning humanity to a pre-civilisati­on state.

According to geological records, the two most recent super-eruptions occurred between 20,000 and 30,000 years ago.

“On balance, we have been slightly lucky not to experience any supererupt­ions since then,” Professor Jonathan Rougier, from the University of Bristol, said.

“But it is important to appreciate that the absence of super-eruptions in the last 20,000 years does not imply one is overdue. What we can say is volcanoes are more threatenin­g to civilisati­on than previously thought.”

Previous estimates suggested super-eruptions occurred on average every 45,000 to 714,000 years. The recalculat­ion, published in the journal ‘Earth and Planetary Science Letters’, produces a range of 5,200 to 48,000 years, with a “best guess” average of 17,000.

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