Irish Independent

DUP fails to realise playing hardball on Brexit could kill union with UK

- Gerard O’Regan

THE backstop is a calcul- ated risk – and I have never made any pretence about my love for the backstop. But without the backstop we would not have been able to get the Irish Government to take part in negotiatio­ns. It’s very seldom mentioned – but the backstop is not just for the Irish Republic. It’s also necessary for the reassuranc­e of the moderate nationalis­t community in Northern Ireland.

“I think for them to understand there is no possibilit­y of a return of a hard Border is one of the ways we underpin the stability of the union.”

Such an aside from Liam Fox – leading Conservati­ve Party MP, ardent Brexiteer, and unabashed unionist – was swamped in the swirling verbiage of a toxic Westminste­r week.

Yet coming from such a source, it provides soothing balm for Irish ears.

Despite much Brexit-fuelled hyperbolea­ndhysteria,thereisagr­owing strain in British life with an awareness of the profound nature of the Irish peace process.

Meanwhile, the choice confrontin­g the House of Commons is increasing­ly stark. Eat humble pie and accept the middle-ground deal on offer – because that’s all the UK can afford – or up and leave the Brussels clubonyour­ownterms.Butthepric­e will be widespread job losses for your constituen­ts.

However, it is still possible to despair at the utterances of some of the more blinkered set. A classic example is former Conservati­ve Party leader Iain Duncan Smith.

This week he disparagin­gly referred to“theIrish”.Weareatfau­ltforinsis­ting on that backstop which, as far as he’s concerned, is scuppering the entire Brexit process.

Such is his zeal to be done with Michel Barnier and his ilk, Duncan Smith would leave the EU at any cost; from his perspectiv­e, concerns over the Irish Border are but an annoying irrelevanc­y.

But this must be balanced with the views of politician­s such as Fox – and indeed British Prime Minister Theresa May – who are aware the return of Border checkpoint­s would be an ominous step back in time.

All the while, the DUP plays hardball. The old mantra ‘Ulster Says No’ remains the party’s default position as it remains swamped in a sea of uncertaint­y. Opinion polls show the thinking of its MPs is out of line with a clear majority in Northern Ireland, who wish to remain in the EU.

Not only that, but the biggest cleavage in unionism for years is the sharp divide between the higher echelons of the DUP and some of its traditiona­l base in business and farming.

MPs in the Commons indulge their “not an inch” strategy, but out in the unionist heartlands there are those who see such grandstand­ing will mean less money in their pockets.

Many DUP-supporting business people and farmers realise the May plan would provide them with the best of both worlds.

They would remain part of the UK – while still availing of various EU perks and payments.

There is also a risk for DUP MPs when throwing in their lot with Brexit extremists. It is pulling them away from the Westminste­r political mainstream.

The Jacob Rees-Mogg cabal has a tendency to shout loudest – but it is destined to remain on the sidelines.

As the battle rages, May is on the ropes. However, there is no overall

Commons majority that would back the UK simply upping sticks and departing the EU without agreement.

And so Nigel Dodds, Sammy Wilson, et al, need to be careful what they wish for.

Events could lead to a general election, with a Jeremy Corbyn-led Labour government in power.

Lost in myriad words spoken over the past week was an aside from leading Labour front-bencher John McDonnell.

“I have always believed in a united Ireland,” he said.

It was a throwaway remark as he sought to amplify some point he was making.

But for Dodds and Wilson, it should be a wake-up call.

Turfing out Theresa May has its risks. Behind all the bluster and brinkmansh­ip, they just might overplay their hand.

‘I have always believed in a united Ireland,’ said leading Labour MP John McDonnell

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