paul ja­cobs

Paul Ja­cobs with his horses to fol­low

Racing Ahead - - CONTENTS -

Naps king of­fers some shrewd ad­vice in the ante post mar­ket

1/ IF THE CAP FITS – HARRY FRY

The Cham­pion Hur­dle mar­ket looks in a state of flux at the mo­ment and I par­tic­u­larly want to op­pose cur­rent holder Bu­veur d’Air who ranks as just an above av­er­age cham­pion hur­dler and is there to be shot at de­spite hav­ing a wind op­er­a­tion.

He sneaked home from Melon and both are hur­dlers to be taken on in the ante-post mar­ket. With Sam­cro set to go chas­ing and not good enough if my eyes over two miles even if he stays hur­dling and Min and Lau­rina hardly en­tic­ing propo­si­tions on what they have shown so for, the ante-post prod was be­tween Sum­merville Boy and, at a much big­ger price, IF THE CAP FITS.

Now let’s get this clear from the getgo, this six-year-old has a bun­dle to find with last year’s lead­ing pro­tag­o­nists on the book, but by the same to­ken he may have that in his locker.

Last year this son of Mi­lan showed more speed than breed­ing lines sug­gested he would by land­ing all of his three novice hur­dles, with his out­stand­ing per­for­mance com­ing in the 32Red Casino Novices Hur­dle at Kemp­ton when he slammed Diese Des Bi­effes by five lengths, barely com­ing off the bri­dle and that de­spite a sig­nif­i­cant mis­take at the se­cond last.

By the time this col­umn goes to print I am hop­ing he has won the Listed Match­book VIP Hur­dle at Kemp­ton on Oc­to­ber 21 and thus taken an­other step to­wards be­com­ing a gen­uine Cham­pion Hur­dle can­di­date.

2/ SAN­TINI – NICKY HEN­DER­SON

This unit of a stay­ing novice hur­dler is merely a shadow of the horse he is go­ing to be­come. When I spoke to Nicky Hen­der­son he told me: “He needed this sum­mer on his back to ma­ture and I am hop­ing he will de­velop into a re­ally good stay­ing novice.”

De­spite not hur­dling flu­ently on each of his three hur­dling starts, SAN­TINI still at­tained a high level of form, all of which came on real win­ter ground.

There is a be­lief in the yard that a bet­ter sur­face will ben­e­fit this ath­lete of a novice chase and he could go right to the top and be a prime con­tender for the big stay­ing chases this sea­son.

I have al­ready backed him to win the Gold Cup in 2020 such is the es­teem I hold him in which makes his top quote of 8/1 for the RSA Chase well worth tam­per­ing with.

3/ PENHILL – WIL­LIE MULLINS

It is 7/1 bar Faugh­een in the Stay­ers’ Hur­dle mar­ket and with him no longer be­ing the ul­ti­mate ma­chine there is plenty of room to ma­noeu­vre for an each-way call in this par­tic­u­lar mar­ket place.

PENHILL may not have the best con­sti­tu­tion, but boy is he a classy stayer and de­spite con­di­tions be­ing some way short of his op­ti­mum he also showed he has guts in abun­dance when land­ing the crown last year in a driv­ing fin­ish with Su­pa­sun­dae.

It is worth re­mem­ber­ing that he is 7-11 over tim­ber and he has only raced over three miles on four oc­ca­sions.

The main ob­sta­cle to him de­fend­ing his ti­tle could be that he is a rather del­i­cate beast, but supremo Mullins know ex­actly how to plan out his cam­paign and it wouldn’t be the big­gest shock in the world if the son of Mount Nel­son makes his sea­sonal de­but in the cham­pi­onship race next March.

4/ BALLYOISIN – ENDA BOL­GER

A hard Gold Cup can bot­tom out horses, even the tough­est glad­i­a­tors like Na­tive River. He may well bounce back from that im­mense ef­fort, but don’t bank on it.

As for the enig­matic Mite Bite, what­ever the state of the ground I feel a strongly run Gold Cup will al­ways find him out in favour of a stronger stayer and who is to say that the 2018 re­newal hasn’t left its mark both men­tally and phys­i­cally on him.

Value has al­ways been the name of the game in horse rac­ing par­tic­u­larly when it comes to ante-post bet­ting, sub­jec­tive as it is, hence my long range choice BALLYOISIN. His finest hour came at Punchestown in June when he slammed Wood­land Opera by eight lengths jump­ing from the front.

WO has won his last three starts in equally com­mand­ing style, land­ing the Grade Two Cham­pion Chase at Gowran Park in Oc­to­ber to pay a huge com­pli­ment to his con­queror.

Ballyoisin could step back to two miles, but I think his fu­ture lies over three and what a spec­ta­cle he would be soar­ing over those ob­sta­cles from the front.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from Ireland

© PressReader. All rights reserved.