Andy Newton’s top trends for the Haydock speed test
May is certainly a busy month as the new Flat turf season gets going and another popular race towards the end of May is the Group Two Temple Stakes.
Run at Haydock over 5f, it’s a race that often attracts some of the fastest horses in training and that’s been no different in recent years with the speedy Battaash landing the last two renewals.
The May 22 contest also gives us some early season pointers ahead of the Group One King’s Stand Stakes, which is run at Royal Ascot next month – the last horse to win both races in the same season was the Clive Cox-trained Profitable.
Let’s take a look at some of the key trends…
UK Trained – In 2011 we saw the Irish-trained Sole Power win the race but barring that success the last 18 runnings have been won by UK-based stables. A slightly surprising trend, considering the Aidan O’Brien yard have had some decent sprinters over the years.
Trip – Being run over the minimum trip, it’s no real shock that most of the past winners had previous form over this 5f trip. 16 of the last 18 successful horses had already recorded wins over 5f.
Age – We saw the Sir Michael Stoute-trained Kingsgate Native win the race in 2013 as an 8-year-old, but since 2001 we’ve seen only one winner aged 8 or older. At the other end of the age scale, we’ve had two 3-yearold winners since 2004, but by far the standout age trend is that 15 of the last 18 winners were aged 5 or younger. While if you want to take this age trend a bit further, then with 8 of the last 11 winners aged 4 or 5 years-old, this age bracket is worth having on your radar.
Recent Run/Form – Having had a run within the last two months is a plus, with 12 of the last 18 winners getting a thumbs up on that trend. With 11 of the last 18 winners placed third of better in their last race, then coming here off the back of a solid run is another positive. Being a Group race, then proven form in and around this level is another stat to note – with, again, 11 of the last 18 winners being successful at Group level in the past. Finally on form, a fair few recent winners (61%) had their last race at Newmarket, so be sure to scan back on past runs.
Favourites – It’s not a bad race for the market leaders. In the last 18 runnings we’ve seen 7 winning favourites (39%), while we’ve had 11 of the last 18 jollies placed (61%), with 5 of the last 10 favourites winning too.
Top Trainers – The most successful trainer to date is Sir Michael Stoute with five wins, but those successes are spread out from 1975 to 2010. More recently the last four runnings have gone to the Charles Hills yard (2) and the Clive Cox (2) team.
Recent Temple Stakes Winners
2019 – BATTAASH (5/6 fav)
2018 – BATTAASH (10/11 fav)
2017 – PRICELESS (11/2)
2016 – PROFITABLE (8/1)
2015 – PEARL SECRET (10/1)
2014 – HOT STREAK (9/4 fav)
2013 – KINGSGATE NATIVE (14/1) 2012 – BATED BREATH (2/1 fav)
2011 – SOLE POWER (8/1)
2010 – KINGSGATE NATIVE (3/1 jfav) 2009 – LOOK BUSY (15/2)
2008 – FLEETING SPIRIT (7/2)
2007 – SIERRA VISTA (5/1)
2006 – REVERENCE (9/4 fav)
2005 – CELTIC MILL (16/1)
Temple Stakes Betting Trends
17/18 – Trained in the UK
16/18 – Had won over 5f before
15/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Raced within the last 2 months 11/18 – Placed third or better last time 11/18 – Favourites that were placed 11/18 – Had won a Group race before 10/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time 7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Won their latest race
2/18 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 6 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 4 runnings) 2/18 – Ridden By Ryan Moore
2/18 – Trained by Charles Hills
Battaash has won the last 2 runnings The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 7/1
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has won the race 5 times (1975, 1984, 1989, 1992 and 2010)
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower