Sunday Independent (Ireland)

Glanbia eyes the future

Behind its restructur­ing

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BOTH of the major quoted Irish dairy processors, Glanbia and Kerry, reported their 2016 results last week. The highlight of the Kerry results was a 7pc increase in earnings (after-tax profits) per share and the retirement of Stan McCarthy, chief executive for the past decade, and his replacemen­t by Edmond Scanlon, previously the head of Kerry’s Asia/Pacific operations.

Far more dramatic was the news from Glanbia. Not only did it deliver an 11pc increase in earnings, it also announced a dramatic restructur­ing, selling a 60pc stake in its Dairy Ireland business to Glanbia Co-op for €112m.

The sale of a controllin­g stake in Dairy Ireland — which consists of Glanbia’s Irish-branded dairy operations and its agribusine­ss arm — continues the transforma­tion that started with the sale of 60pc of Glanbia’s Irish dairy-processing business, Glanbia Ingredient­s, to the co-op in 2012. Glanbia Ingredient­s will now be subsumed into Dairy Ireland.

The co-op is funding the deal by selling a chunk of its Glanbia shares, in a move that will reduce its stake from 36.5pc to 33.5pc. In addition it is “spinning out” a further 2pc of the shares to its members, leaving the co-op with a 31.5pc Glanbia shareholdi­ng. The spinout will be worth an average of €10,800 for each Glanbia Co-op shareholde­r who is also a milk supplier and about €6,600 each for co-op shareholde­rs who aren’t milk suppliers.

So why is Glanbia doing the splits? Look at the numbers. The core of the new Glanbia are now its Performanc­e Nutrition and Nutritiona­ls divisions. In 2016. Performanc­e Nutrition — mainly protein-based sports supplement­s and energy drinks — increased its sales by 9.1pc to just over €1bn and EBITA (earnings before interest, tax and amortisati­on) by 19.9pc to almost €163m. Nutritiona­ls, the food ingredient­s and US cheese businesses, also did well last year with EBITA up by 4.9pc to €112m on broadly- unchanged sales of €1.22bn.

EBITA margins at Performanc­e Nutrition were 16.1pc while the Nutritiona­ls margin was 9.1pc. Compare this to the Dairy Ireland businesses. While sales at Dairy Ireland were up by 2.7pc in 2016, largely reflecting last year’s partial recovery in internatio­nal dairy prices, and EBITA was up 6.6pc to €30.7m, the margin was still only 5pc.

At the same time as it is selling majority ownership of Dairy Ireland to the co-op, Glanbia is doubling down on Performanc­e Nutrition and Nutritiona­ls.

Last month it announced that it was in advanced discussion­s with three local dairy co-ops to build a $400m (€380m) greenfield cheese and whey plant in the US state of Michigan while earlier this month it unveiled two acquisitio­ns, Amazing Grass in the US and Body & Fit in the Netherland­s, for a total of €181m.

The Michigan plant will add 30pc to Glanbia’s US cheese manufactur­ing capacity while Amazing Grass and Body & Fit will increase Performanc­e Nutrition sales by a further €100m a year.

By hiving off Dairy Ireland, Glanbia kills a number of birds with the one stone. Not alone does it get to concentrat­e on its highermarg­in businesses, it also reduces the Co-op shareholdi­ng while at the same time giving its milk suppliers majority ownership of the dairy processing and agribusine­sses operations that matter most to them. This represents an elegant solution to the problem of reconcilin­g the sometimes competing interests of outside shareholde­rs and milk suppliers.

The contrast with Kerry is stark. Almost 80pc of its 2016 sales, nearly €4.9bn, were from its taste and nutrition division. Trading profits — Kerry calculates the profitabil­ity of its divisions differentl­y from Glanbia — on those sales were €716m giving a margin of 14.7pc.

The other €1.33bn of Kerry’s sales came from its consumer-foods division, where trading profits were €117m and the margin was just 8.8pc.

However, Kerry has up until now resisted the temptation to separate its higher-margin taste and nutrition business from its lowermargi­n legacy business.

The market certainly liked the news from Glanbia with the share price jumping by over a euro to €18.50. At the current share price, Glanbia is trading at over 20 times its forecast 2017 earnings.

“The remaining divisions within Glanbia plc, Glanbia Performanc­e Nutrition and Glanbia Nutritiona­ls, are higher-margin and higher-growth businesses than Dairy Ireland, meaning that Glanbia plc should be able to sustain higher valuation multiples as a result,” said Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Stephen Hall.

While the £115bn Kraft Heinz bid for Unilever was over before it ever really began, it did demonstrat­e that there is an appetite for well-managed food companies with good growth prospects.

Glanbia, shorn of most of its legacy dairy processing and agribusine­ss operations, certainly falls into this category. So could last week’s restructur­ing announceme­nt be the precursor to a takeover bid for Glanbia? The reduction in the co-op shareholdi­ng certainly reduces, even if it doesn’t entirely remove, one possible obstacle.

At the current share price, the whole of Glanbia is worth almost €5.4bn. Assuming that the Dairy Ireland spin-off goes through this values Co-op’s remaining shareholdi­ng at €1.7bn.

Based on the details of the current proposed share spin-off this would translate into an average windfall of €170,000 each for Glanbia Co-op shareholde­rs who are also milk suppliers and €104,000 for non-milk supplying co-op shareholde­rs.

With the dairy processing and agribusine­ss arms safely back under their control would the co-op shareholde­rs reject a bid for Glanbia? Watch this space.

‘This represents an elegant solution to reconcilin­g the sometimes competing interests of suppliers and shareholde­rs’

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 ??  ?? Siobhan Talbot, managing director of Glanbia, is overseeing a major change at the Irish plc
Siobhan Talbot, managing director of Glanbia, is overseeing a major change at the Irish plc

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