Unprecedented Saudi purge changes kingdom
Saudi Arabia has placed itself front and center in Middle East news.
First the country enabled former Lebanese prime minister Saad Hariri to make his momentous resignation from Riyadh and, now a swath of senior princes and officials have been rounded up on corruption allegations. And, amid that momentous news a missile was fired from Yemen at the capital city’s airport Saturday night.
Foremost among the potentates carted off in the anti-corruption probe is Alwaleed bin Talal, a prince whose vast holdings include a web of the most important media and financial groups in the United States – Twitter, News Corp, 21st Century Fox and Citigroup. A dozen other princes and businessmen also have been arrested.
Jonathan Schanzer, senior vice-president for research at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies says the charges are part of an attempt by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (known as MbS) to reshape the Saudi government in his own image.
“MbS is looking to bring in new blood, fresh thinking and younger leadership to bring the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia into the modern era,” said Schanzer, arguing that “these corruption charges appear to be one part of that effort.”
MbS, who was born in 1985 and is the eldest son of King Salman, has been crown prince since June. He has been Saudi Arabia’s defense minister since 2015 when, at age 29, he was the youngest defense minister in the world.
Dr. Yoel Guzansky, a senior fellow at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) at Tel Aviv University said the attempt to consolidate power is unprecedented and could be dangerous for the Kingdom.
“Israelis and the establishment [in Israel], I assume, look favorably on the foreign policy that MbS initiated. We like his boldness and activity and aggressiveness against Iran and against Iran proxies in Yemen, etc.,” said Guzansky.
Although his conduct against Iran is welcomed, there is a potential downside. “I’m not so sure if what is going on inside Saudi [Arabia] reassures Israelis,” he added. “In the long run, any instability or conflict inside the palace can affect the tacit relations behind closed doors. Any damage to Saudi regional status is not something that Israel would be happy about because of the shared interests between the countries.”
Before the shakeup MbS had carved out a niche as a reformer looking to the future; he supported privatization and changes in Saudi Arabia that would affect health care, education and military sectors of the economy, according to a profile in Egypt Today. He also has supported the potential massive IPO of ARAMCO and has been outspoken on bringing women into the economy. US President Donald Trump has reportedly welcomed the listing of Aramco on US stock exchanges – part of Trump’s overall policy to work closely with the Saudis on numerous regional issues. The crown prince is also involved in other reforms. In September, the Kingdom announced that women would be granted the right to drive a car.
According to a list tweeted by policy analyst and visiting professor at the University of Miami, Rula Jebreal, the list includes Prince Miteb bin Abdullah, Minister of the National Guard; Prince Turki bin Abdullah former governor of Riyadh; Khalid Al-Tuwaijri, former president of the Royal Court; as well as a raft of other former ministers of labor and finance, chiefs of the investment authority, a former head of Saudi Arabian airlines and the CEO of the Bin Ladin Group and Saudi Telecom.
According to The Daily Sabah in Turkey, the arrests include the heads of three state-owned TV networks. At least two of those arrested are sons of the late King Abdullah who died in 2015. Those detained range in age from 47 to 67 years of age.
Saudi Arabia’s Al-Arabiya presents the arrests as a widespread anti-corruption campaign, saying MbS’s new “anti-corruption committee” has sweeping powers to “investigate, arrest, ban from travel, freeze accounts and portfolios, track funds and assets of individuals.”
In addition, the reporting seeks to link those arrests to 2009 floods that affect Jeddah and responses to a health crises. The Kingdom highlights this as a clear indication that “no one is above the law.”
Another Saudi news outlet described the crown prince’s actions as a “war against corruption.” The hashtag “king fights corruption” is now trending.
“He [MbS] has interrupted or put an end to the balance between the main branches of the royal family,” says Joshua Teitelbaum, professor and senior research associate at BarIlan University affiliated with the BESA Center for Strategic Studies. “It’s more than just simple consolidation [of power]. He’s removed the last power center Miteb Bin Abdullah, the head of the National Guard... so, that’s the main story here.”
Teitelbaum said it’s an open question whether this will be a successful move or not.
Kristian Coates Ulrichsen a research fellow at the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy at Rice University was quoted in Daily Sabah saying MbS is setting his sights on remaining in power for decades, and is “remaking the kingdom in his own image and signaling a potentially significant move away from the consensual balancing of competing interests that characterized Saudi rule in the past.”
Ian Black, of the London School of Economics, provided Al Jazeera with a similar message.
“Since Mohammed bin Salman became the crown prince in June, we’ve seen a lot of upheaval. We’ve seen the announcement of this very ambitious Saudi plan to transform the Saudi economy, [called] Vision 2030.”
Saudi Arabia’s actions do not come in a vacuum but are part of a larger alliance with the gulf states and Egypt.
The United Arab Emirates has said it stands firmly with the Saudis, though its comments don’t clearly reference the arrests, but rather the Yemenite missile.
Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed said foreign hands “will not undermine the resolve of our brothers in the kingdom.”