The Jerusalem Post

More than 3,000 coronaviru­s cases in Islamic Republic

Middle East prepares for growing emergency

- • By SETH J. FRANTZMAN

Iran now has more than 3,500 official cases of coronaviru­s as rates spread rapidly. Suspicions are that numbers are far higher, even though Tehran claims only 100 have died. Throughout the Middle East cases are increasing with new discoverie­s in Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the Gulf, the Palestinia­n Authority and elsewhere.

Countries are preparing for the worst. The UAE has advised against traveling abroad. Iran has accused Bahrain of mistreatin­g its Shi’ite minority over concerns that some of them came from Iran with the virus. Schools and mosques are being closed as government­s seek to prevent large gatherings. So far it is unclear if any of the directives have actually helped stop the spread of the virus in the region, especially since some countries may be underrepor­ting the number of cases or have citizens with the virus who are unaware.

In terms of preparatio­n, the Gulf states and the Kurdistan region of Iraq have attempted to get ahead of the crises by preparing. They quarantine­d suspected cases and have attempted to prepare hospitals for worse to come. They also sought to tamp down on large public gatherings in late February. However Iran’s decision in mid-February to deny that the virus was spreading in Qom has now resulted in massive rates of infections, especially among its leadership. This includes suspected virus cases among dozens of parliament members and key advisers to the supreme leader.

Iran has sought to distract from the crises by upping its stockpile of uranium, which it revealed on Wednesday. It has also begun a social media campaign to attack India for alleged mistreatme­nt of India’s Muslim minority. Iran’s regime appears to seek out a new crises to claim that the coronaviru­s is some kind of conspiracy against it. It has alleged western media exaggerate­s the extent of the virus and that the West may have been involved in even creating the crises. However Iran’s English language internatio­nal propaganda outlets, such as Press TV, have huge banners claiming Iran is “fighting” the virus.

As the virus spreads from Iran and also via other less developed countries, it is harder to contain. The Gulf countries were well placed to deal with upwards of fifty cases in Kuwait and Bahrain. However it is unclear if that is the case in parts of Iraq or Egypt. Help may not be coming either. The UAE has sought to assist South Korea and countries have recalled their citizens. But none of the countries are in a place to help Egypt or Iraq if things worsen because they must guard their own societies.

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