The Jerusalem Post
Gaza war increased Hamas’s popularity, poll shows
palestinian support has increased dramatically for hamas, and has dropped significantly for palestinian authority president mahmoud abbas’s ruling Fatah faction, according to a public opinion poll published on Tuesday.
The poll showed that 77% of palestinians believed that hamas emerged the winner in last month’s 11-day war with Israel, while 65% thought that the Islamic movement achieved its declared goal in firing rockets at Israel: to stop the eviction of arab families from the east jerusalem neighborhood of sheikh jarrah and to bring an end to Israeli “restrictions” on muslim access to the al-aqsa mosque compound on the Temple mount.
Conducted by the ramallah-based palestinian Center for policy and survey research, the poll covered 1,200 palestinians, has a margin of error of 3%, and was conducted between june 9 and 12.
The results showed that 72% of those polled thought that hamas launched rockets at Israeli cities in defense of jerusalem and al-aqsa mosque. only 9% credited cancellation of the palestinian general elections.
according to the poll, if new palestinian presidential elections were held today, hamas leader Ismail haniyeh would get 59% of the votes, and abbas 27%. hamas would also win in a parliamentary election, the poll found. more than 40% said they would cast their ballots for hamas, as opposed to 30% for Fatah.
however, if the presidential election was between jailed Fatah leader marwan Barghouti and haniyeh, Barghouti would receive 51% and haniyeh 26%.
Two-thirds of the palestinian public believed that abbas delayed the parliamentary and presidential elections because he was worried about the results, while 25% thought he postponed them because Israel refused to allow the vote to take place in east jerusalem. some 65% said they oppose abbas’s decision, taken in april.
The poll also found that 67% felt the chances of establishing a palestinian state in the next five years are slim or nonexistent, and 58% opposed the two-state solution. a majority of 61% believed that it is no longer feasible, due to the expansion of West Bank settlements. nearly 40% of those surveyed said that they prefer to wage “armed struggle” against Israel; only 27% said that they prefer reaching a peace agreement. under the current circumstances, 70% said they oppose unconditional resumption of Israeli-palestinian negotiations.
lastly, the poll found that 69% were not optimistic about the new Israeli government led by prime minister naftali Bennett.