The Jerusalem Post

Delta variant not causing serious cases

- ANALYSIS • By MAAYAN HOFFMAN

The Delta variant of the coronaviru­s has not led to an extreme uptick in serious cases, contrary to public alarm, Health Ministry data obtained by The Jerusalem Post indicated Thursday.

The average age of serious cases on Thursday afternoon was 64, and the majority of people (56%) had some additional underlying medical condition before contractin­g the virus, the data showed.

However, more than half (53%) of the hospitaliz­ed patients had been fully vaccinated.

Looking at those hospitaliz­ed, a separate Health Ministry report showed that only two were children, and one was an unvaccinat­ed pregnant woman.

The number of seriously ill patients rises and drops daily based on the status of those hospitaliz­ed with the virus. On Thursday morning, there were 46 patients in serious condition, but on Thursday evening, there were 37, the Health Ministry reported.

Many of the patients who are on the list of serious cases were not admitted within the last week, according to the Health Ministry. The Post asked for data on anyone listed as being in serious condition over the past month and found that the majority were infected several weeks ago, before the Delta variant was known to have become predominan­t.

And given the absence of Shas and UTJ, several parties in the coalition set out in their coalition agreements to make changes both to religious life in Israel and the country’s relationsh­ip with its haredi sector.

This week, two of the first shots in those efforts were fired by Liberman and Kahana.

And both ministers have several other policy priorities in these fields to advance as well.

Kahana and his Yamina Party set out in their coalition agreement with Yesh Atid initiative­s specifical­ly to reform religious life in the Jewish state, in line with the moderate brand of religious-Zionist Judaism he extols.

These include decentrali­zing the kashrut supervisio­n market, decentrali­zing conversion and changing the electoral body for selecting chief rabbis.

The idea is not to separate religion and state as secularist­s would like, but to give greater choice and freedom to Israeli citizens regarding religious life.

Liberman, in the coalition agreements signed by Yisrael Beytenu and Yesh Atid, focused more on reforms to the state’s relationsh­ip with the haredim.

These included stipulatio­ns to ensure “all pupils” study core curriculum subjects, such as math, science and English, in school, meaning specifical­ly haredi pupils, and a commitment to pass a law to have greater numbers of haredi men enlist for military service.

Liberman’s priorities are in large part connected to his fierce anti-haredi election campaigns and the promises he made to his voter base to end haredi privileges he and his voters believe come at their expense.

His voters will certainly be expecting him to follow through, and Liberman will not want to disappoint them.

Also on Liberman’s bucket list is a series of religion-andstate issues, including enacting civil marriage, enacting public transporta­tion on Shabbat, allowing for greater commerce on Shabbat and implementi­ng the Western Wall agreement.

How much of this ambitious agenda, to put it mildly, can be achieved?

It is important to note that coalition guidelines say only religion-and-state issues for which there is “a broad public consensus” will be advanced, while the agreement between Yesh Atid and Yamina explicitly states that the status quo on such issues will be preserved, apart from those spelled out in that specific agreement.

Since the Yesh Atid-Yamina agreement overrides the others, much of Liberman’s agenda is in doubt because Yamina has not specifical­ly agreed to it.

Civil marriage, public transporta­tion on Shabbat and greater commerce on Shabbat are all highly sensitive issues, and it remains doubtful whether sweeping legislativ­e reform will win the support of this government.

What will be easier to achieve is reforms requiring merely administra­tive and regulatory change within government ministries, which the ministers themselves are able to carry out.

One such example is the change to childcare subsidies Liberman announced this week.

Another is the term limits Kahana wants to institute for municipal chief rabbis.

Both measures would have a significan­t impact, and crucially, both can be done by ministeria­l administra­tive changes and do not require the messy and difficult process of legislatio­n, which the current government, with its minute minority, is already struggling with.

Liberman’s desire to have all haredi boys study core curriculum subjects is without doubt crucial to Israel’s economic viability in the future. But requiring haredi schools to teach these subjects would be difficult and cause great social unrest.

An independen­t haredi school system is seen as absolutely inviolable by the community’s rabbinic leadership since it constitute­s the principal formative device for haredi identity for every generation.

Attempting to force change on it from the top down would likely lead to massive protests and cause even the moderate elements of the community to rally around their leadership.

As some modern haredi activists suggested on Thursday, it would likely be easier and more effective to provide increased funds for the relatively new state haredi school network than to try and impose a curriculum on the independen­t haredi school networks.

One issue the coalition will be forced to address is how to legislate a new law for haredi enlistment. The High Court of Justice struck down the legal arrangemen­t for blanket military service exemptions for haredi yeshiva students in 2017. It is growing impatient with the ongoing requests to extend the deadline by the last three government­s, including the new one.

Legislatio­n is ready and waiting, having been drawn up by a committee appointed by Liberman when he was defense minister in the 2015-2018 government of Benjamin Netanyahu, which most of the coalition appears to agree on.

Experts are skeptical that this legislatio­n will effectivel­y increase haredi enlistment, since the economic sanctions it stipulates are too moderate, and the lowering of the age of exemption will severely decrease the motivation of young haredi men to enlist.

However, the government will be grateful to put this explosive issue behind it with as little fuss as possible, at least until the High Court weighs in on whatever legislatio­n it manages to pass.

The measures on religious life, although requiring legislatio­n, would appear to be relatively consensual within the coalition and may not be especially difficult to enact.

The majority of the public sees the Chief Rabbinate as corrupt and unrepresen­tative of the general Jewish population, so legislatio­n to make kashrut supervisio­n less corrupt and more competitiv­e will not face much opposition in the coalition.

The same can be said for legislatio­n to change the electoral body for chief rabbis to ensure non-haredi figures are selected, with the overwhelmi­ng majority of the coalition favoring such a move.

The issue of conversion reform is more sensitive, and the haredi parties will ferociousl­y oppose it and enlist the support of conservati­ve religious-Zionist rabbis, who will bring pressure to bear on the more religiousl­y conservati­ve MKs in the coalition, especially Yamina.

Still, it is possible that this reform could be pushed through.

Ultimately, the changes the coalition has indicated it wishes to make in religious life for the general public are relatively moderate and obtainable.

The haredi parties and the religiousl­y conservati­ve Religious Zionist Party will make a big public row about them, but they will most likely end up living with these measures and not take matters beyond that.

Change to the relationsh­ip between the country and the haredi community is far harder and cannot simply be addressed by waving a legislativ­e wand.

The state over the last 40 years has fundamenta­lly failed in the realms of haredi military service and general education. At the same time, it has permitted a high degree of autonomy within the sector, which it is now extremely difficult to roll back.

Attempting to force change quickly could lead to protests on the streets and play into the hands of the extremists, who will argue that they were right all along to say the state wants to destroy religion and wipe out haredi Jewry.

Change can only come about on those issues through a strategic, holistic and well-planned approach, which this government has not yet indicated it is interested in pursuing. •

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