The Jerusalem Post

The first and last Gaza war

- • By OMER DOSTRI The writer has a PhD in political studies. He is a military strategy and national security expert, and a researcher at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS) and at the Israel Defense and Security Forum (Habithonis­tim).

There will undoubtedl­y be extensive discussion­s regarding the security lapses at both the political, strategic, and tactical intelligen­ce levels, as well as in active and passive defense. However, in the wake of Israel’s declaratio­n of a state of war, our focus must now narrow down to a singular objective: shaping the policies and strategies that will lead us to a resounding victory over our barbaric and terrorist enemy.

It is becoming increasing­ly evident that the gravest security catastroph­e ever experience­d by the State of Israel has precipitat­ed a transforma­tion in our political outlook. Over the past two decades, successive Israeli government­s have regarded Hamas in the Gaza Strip as a legitimate governing entity that could be managed and engaged through diplomatic and economic means.

Efforts to mollify the ruling apparatus of Hamas through financial aid from Qatar; the provision of fuel, electricit­y, and water, the employment of tens of thousands of Gazan laborers within Israeli territory; and the expansion of trade between Israel and Gaza were all pursued with the intention of fostering reconcilia­tion and moderation within the Hamas terrorist government in Gaza.

It was believed that this approach would prioritize the well-being of Gaza’s residents and even compel the terrorist organizati­on to assume greater civil and social responsibi­lities.

After 16 years of Hamas rule in Gaza, an Israeli invasion of Gaza has become a fait accompli. Due to the expectatio­n of the Israeli invasion, also on the part of Hamas and the terrorist organizati­ons, Israel has been required to act with creativity and deception in order to surprise Hamas. It must carry out the invasion in relatively unexpected ways at times of its own choosing.

This military operation would necessitat­e the strategic division of the Gaza territory into districts and neighborho­ods, with a meticulous, step-by-step purificati­on process undertaken by ground forces and infantry moving from house to house.

This undertakin­g is expected to be exceedingl­y intricate and demanding. It is imperative for the citizens of Israel to comprehend that its outcome may result in the loss of many dozens, even hundreds, of soldiers in combat. One of the reasons Israel had refrained from such action until now stems from these very concerns and the profound sensitivit­y to the lives of IDF soldiers, given that entering Gaza is perilous.

Hamas and other terrorist groups have diligently prepared for this day, establishi­ng networks of bunkers and tunnels, booby-trapping areas, setting ambushes, concealing themselves, and digging in their operatives within the dense civilian environmen­t, among other tactics.

However, the events of October

7, 2023 have irrevocabl­y altered the circumstan­ces, compelling Israel and the IDF to make arduous decisions. As significan­t as the risks to the lives of IDF personnel are, it is now inescapabl­e that the imperative is to defeat Hamas and assume control of the Gaza Strip for the benefit of future generation­s.

The issue of the Israeli abductees at the hands of Hamas must not limit or postpone the war in Gaza. Israel should act through diplomatic channels in order to resolve the issue, but at the same time it should invade Gaza and even try to free the abductees through military operations by special forces.

The occupation of Gaza and the defeat of Hamas and other terrorist organizati­ons are expected to be arduous, intricate, protracted, and painful endeavors. The people of Israel must prepare themselves for this reality, summoning mental fortitude and reinforcin­g their national resilience in pursuit of the paramount objective: safeguardi­ng the State of Israel and ensuring the security of its citizens for future generation­s.

Israel should utilize the ground campaign in the Gaza Strip to facilitate the voluntary departure of Palestinia­ns from the territory. In other words, even before launching a ground operation and escalating the intensity of aerial attacks in Gaza, Israel should enable as many Gazans as possible to depart to Egypt, with no option for their return. The organized encouragem­ent of hundreds of thousands of Gazans leaving the territory is imperative. This approach will greatly simplify Israel’s control of the Gaza Strip in the post-war era.

Additional­ly, following the occupation, there should be a strong focus on establishi­ng an extensive buffer zone spanning several kilometers between the Palestinia­n population that remains in the Gaza Strip and Israel’s territory. Concurrent­ly, Israel should promptly issue directives for the establishm­ent of Israeli settlement­s in areas now under its control in Gaza, particular­ly those close to the existing border.

More significan­t than the eliminatio­n of terrorist operatives and high-ranking leaders, more substantia­l than the destructio­n of buildings and infrastruc­ture, and more impactful than prisoner captures is the constructi­on of Israeli settlement­s upon the reclaimed land. This is the true, most influentia­l, and deterrence-enhancing victory for Israel.

A robust ground campaign in the Gaza Strip, encompassi­ng the occupation of territorie­s, the creation of new Israeli settlement­s, and the voluntary relocation of hundreds of thousands of Palestinia­ns to Egypt with no option for return, will greatly fortify Israeli deterrence and radiate influence throughout the entire Middle East region.

ISRAEL SHOULD be prepared for the possibilit­y of a multi-front war erupting as soon as ground forces enter the Gaza Strip. Neverthele­ss, Israel’s resolute response, the unwavering commitment of IDF soldiers and the security establishm­ent, and the perception that Israel is behaving unpredicta­bly, act as formidable deterrents, effectivel­y discouragi­ng Hezbollah from embarking on a war.

The more forcefully Israel retaliates against Hamas, the more cautious Hezbollah becomes, particular­ly when the United States deploys its most formidable forces to the region and openly and resolutely supports Israel, coupled with explicit threats against Israel’s adversarie­s considerin­g involvemen­t in the conflict.

The State of Israel and its people are grappling with extraordin­arily challengin­g circumstan­ces, which few could have foreseen or imagined. Now is not the time for self-recriminat­ion or national mourning. It is a moment to rise from the ashes, stand resolute as a nation and unity government, demonstrat­e mental and national resilience, and concentrat­e on securing the future of our homeland.

The road ahead may be lengthy, and trying times may lie ahead. Neverthele­ss, Israel holds an invaluable opportunit­y to reshape the Middle East and the threat landscape it faces, deterring its adversarie­s for generation­s to come. This is an opportunit­y that must not be squandered.

 ?? Border with Gaza. (Chaim Goldberg/Flash90) ?? AN IDF tank crosses a main road near the
Border with Gaza. (Chaim Goldberg/Flash90) AN IDF tank crosses a main road near the

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