German industrial orders fall on tepid global demand

FRANKFURT, Germany (AFP) — German industrial orders fell sharply in May, hit by weak demand from abroad as the pandemic continued to pummel Europe’s top economy, official data showed yesterday.

Orders were down by 3.7 per cent, according to the federal statistics office Destatis, dashing the hopes of analysts polled by Factset who had pencilled in a rise of 0.8 pe rcent compared to April.

However, a year-on-year comparison showed a whopping 54.3 per cent increase compared to May 2020, when the economy came to a screeching halt during the first wave of the pandemic.

International orders in May sank particularly sharply, by 2.3 per cent from Eurozone countries and 9.3 per cent from the rest of the world according to month-on-month data.

Industrial orders are closely watched as a key indicator of future economic activity, especially in manufacturing powerhouse Germany.

Germany’s economy shrank in the first quarter as restrictions were imposed to counter a winter surge in COVID-19 cases.

But ING analyst Carsten Brzeski suggested the disappointing May industrial orders data should be taken with a “pinch of salt”.

He noted that “ongoing supply chain disruptions, delivery delays and lack of materials and intermediate goods” due to the pandemic have “blurred the traditional link between industrial orders and production”.

“Consequently, the industrial rebound could be a bit more erratic than previously anticipated,” he said.

“Order books are more than richly filled and reducing backlogs is a bigger problem for German companies than acquiring new orders.”

Last week, German business confidence rose to a near threeyear high in June, buoyed by reopenings and falling coronavirus infection rates according to the Munich-based ifo Institute’s monthly confidence barometer.

But yesterday, the ZEW institute’s monthly barometer measuring economic expectations showed an unexpected slide in investor sentiment.

Concern about the rapid spread of coronavirus variants and material shortages in production weighed on the notoriously volatile index, sending it plunging 16.5 points month on month to 63.3 for July.