Stocks mark time looking ahead to Fed meet
Stock markets steadied yesterday as investors marked time ahead of a meeting of the Federal Reserve this week that may provide fresh clues about prospects for higher interest rates as inflation soars. Wall Street dipped at the open of trading, with the S&P 500 coming off a record high. Europe’s main indices nudged higher, after Tokyo rose in thin Asian trading owing to regional public holidays.
London investors brushed off the expected announcement yesterday from the UK government that it will delay the lifting of its remaining lockdown restrictions. The next potentially major moving event is the US Fed’s two-day meeting that concludes tomorrow. “The Fed is largely expected to maintain its current level of monetary assistance and is again expected to reiterate its view that the current inflationary spike is a passing phase,” noted Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor.
“Even so, there have more recently been suggestions that discussions on tapering relief are likely to be nearing the top of the agenda, even if this does not lead to imminent action.”
Markets appear to have accepted Fed insistence that the inflation spike in the US and elsewhere will be temporary and that its ultra-loose monetary policies-including record low interest rates-will be maintained for the foreseeable future. There had been a worry that soaring prices would force the bank to taper its bondbuying scheme earlier than first thought.
Confidence among investors though remains high as vaccine rollouts, the easing of containment measures, central bank largesse and government stimulus provide support, with observers forecasting a rally that began in April 2020 will continue into next year.
On Sunday, leaders from the Group of Seven wealthy nations vowed to start delivering one billion doses of COVID vaccines to poorer countries. The pledge fell far short of the 11 billion doses that campaigners say are needed to end a pandemic that has claimed nearly four million lives and wrecked economies around the globe.
Looking ahead to the Fed meeting, Bank of Singapore chief economist Mansoor Mohiuddin said the central bank is this week “likely to start discussing when it will begin slowing its quantitative easing (stimulus), given the US economy’s strong rebound from the pandemic”. But he expects it to wait “until as late as December before announcing it will start tapering in early 2022” as it awaits a stronger jobs market and steadier inflation.
Oil, bitcoin rally
Elsewhere yesterday, oil prices continued their run higher on stronger demand expectations, with Brent reaching $73.64 per barrelthe highest level since April 2019. Bitcoin surged to within touching distance of $40,000 for the first time in more than two weeks after Elon Musk said at the weekend that his Tesla company would accept payments in the unit again when it is mined using cleaner energy.
The electric car maker in February said that customers could use cryptocurrency, sending bitcoin surging, before Musk changed his mind citing environmental concerns. Bitcoins are produced by powerful computers that have to solve equations and consume huge amounts of electricity in the process. —AFP