UK employers see measly pay growth ahead

LONDON: British employers expect to raise pay only minimally over the next 12 months despite hiring more staff, a survey showed, suggesting the Bank of England (BoE) is unlikely to come under much pressure to raise interest rates from their record low.

The Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD) said employers predicted their pay increases would average 1% despite more of them expecting to increase staff levels than in its previous survey three months ago.

While private-sector employers expect to raise pay by an average 2%, the median pay rise was dragged down by publicsector employers and charities which plan to offer pay rises of 1% and 1.4% respectively.

The BoE is watching pay closely as it gauges whether to raise rates.

It had expected wages to start rising more quickly as employment picked up, but this has failed to materialise despite a record-high number of people in work.

Pay increases of 1% would lag further behind inflation which is likely to rise to around 3% later this year, tightening the squeeze on household budgets.

The CIPD said the weak outlook for pay was partly due to increases in migration from the European Union (EU) and the number of people looking for work over the past year.

Respondents also cited uncertainty over Brexit, a higher minimum wage and costs related to the introduction of automatic pension enrolment as weighing on their pay decisions.

The CIPD also said employers became more pessimistic over the past six months as the economy slowed.

This chimed with a survey published yesterday by the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales where it found business confidence reversed the gains it made in the second quarter of the year as companies worried about the lack of clarity about Britain’s exit from the EU. – Reuters