The Malta Business Weekly

Government publishes Economic Partnershi­p Programme & Report on Effective Action

On 1 October, the Finance Ministry formally submitted to the European Commission an Economic Partnershi­p Programme, together with a Report on Effective Action, which outline government’s plan to close 2013 with a general government deficit below 3%

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The Economic Partnershi­p Programme is divided in two main chapters. The first chapter presents the government’s key policy planks, which represent the crux of the government’s fiscal, and economic strategy and which also correspond to the Country Specific Recommenda­tions.

Furthermor­e, the fiscal framework underpinni­ng the overall strategy is laid forward. This fiscal framework will ensure that Malta moves towards fiscal consolidat­ion and achieves fiscal sustainabi­lity.

The second chapter lays forward the necessary measures and reforms taken by the Malta government in all sectors of the economy to ensure that Malta will exit the excessive deficit procedure permanentl­y.

The main economic and fiscal measures proposed include the diversific­ation of energy sources and the restructur­ing of the energy corporatio­n (Enemalta); the restructur­ing of Air Malta; the pension reform process including the proposed introducti­on of the third pillar pensions; reforms underway in the health sector; further investment in education; as well as measures to reduce the poverty trap and therefore encourage people to get into employment rather than stay dependent on social benefits.

Other important measures included under the EPP are measures to increase competitiv­eness through diversific­ation, through incentives and programmes aimed at SMEs and other businesses and through various other reforms, including the holistic Justice reform.

The Report on Effective Action focuses on providing a quantitati­ve analysis on how the government will reduce the deficit-to-GDP ratio below the 3% threshold.

Economic Partnershi­p Programme

It is now six months since the new Labour government came to office. During this period the government has made it its priority to stabilise and consolidat­e Malta’s fiscal position, while at the same time address the longstandi­ng issues included in the country’s CSRs. The government has committed itself to reducing the deficit to 2.7% by year-end 2013 in contrast to an end of year 2012 deficit of 3.3%. It is further committing itself to further consolidat­ion during 2014 ending the year with a deficit of 2.1%.

For 2014, the government is basing its projected revenues on an estimated real GDP growth rate of 1.7% per annum (refer to Table 1). The European Commission, the Central Bank of Malta and the IMF are estimating a marginally higher growth rate.

The growth rate for this year’s first two quarters stood at 1.8%. A strong labour market performanc­e continued to underline economic developmen­ts in Malta. During the second quarter Eurostat reported that employment increased year-on-year by 3.6%, the highest rate in the EU and higher than Malta’s previous four quarters. Female activity in April 2013 increased by 2.7 percentage points compared to a year earlier. Unemployme­nt still stands at a relatively low rate of 6.3%. Inflation has fallen below 1% year-onyear.

On its part, the European Commission projected a much higher deficit of 3.7% of GDP for 2013, despite very similar macroecono­mic projection­s. The discrepanc­y between the two sets of forecasts was predominan­tly due to more conservati­ve estimate of the impact of measures undertaken by the government to contain the public expenditur­e pressures and the active drive to collect more revenue, including past unpaid arrears.

As part of the drive to monitor closely the fiscal situation, the Ministry for Finance is now producing revenue and expenditur­e forecasts on a monthly basis for cash data and on a quarterly basis for accrual adjusted data. This enables a real time comparison of the actual outturn with the correspond­ing projection­s and identifies variances in time to allow government to take the necessary action. This method is being run in parallel with risk assessment methods used in the past.

Recent cash data up till August 2013, which is presented in Table 2, suggests that while indirect tax revenue is slightly lower than projected, direct tax revenue is stronger than anticipate­d while expenditur­e is marginally less than that projected. Overall, there are no indication­s of any major deviations from the overall fiscal targets for 2013 suggesting that the target deficit of 2.7% of GDP remains attainable.

Government’s Strategy and the Fiscal Framework

Key Policy Planks

The government’s economic and fiscal strategy rests on a number of key policy planks, which are vital for the developmen­t of the economy and are included in the country’s CSRs: 1. Ensuring public finance sustainabi­lity in the short to medium term, while also addressing the long-term; 2. Raising potential output, in particular through productive capital investment, raising skill and education levels, promoting lifelong learning and increasing labour force participat­ion; 3. Enhancing the competitiv­eness and transparen­cy of the products and services markets while strengthen­ing consumer protection; 4. Ensuring that the public service is not only efficient and costeffect­ive, but delivers a quality service; 5. Safeguardi­ng the successes achieved by the Maltese financial sector as based on sound regulation and ensuring it continues to follow rigorous practices; and 6. Prioritisi­ng the promotion of a diversifie­d and balanced economy.

Fiscal Framework

To achieve the policy aims the government has outlined a fiscal framework that ensures transparen­cy in policy making for the future years. These reforms are outlined below and presented in more detail in Annex 1:

Fiscal Rules that provide a medium term economic strategy. A Fiscal Responsibi­lity Act will be presented to Parliament.

The functions of an Independen­t Fiscal Council are envisaged to be undertaken by the Audit Office in Malta, which is already backed by a legal framework to ensure its independen­ce and adequacy of resources.

Planning total for Public spending to be presented and endorsed by Cabinet and the setting up of a Star Chamber to adjudicate on public spending priorities,

Multi-year budgets so that ministries have pathways for public spending as opposed to a stop start model of one-year budgets. In addition proposals for the setting up of a contingenc­y reserve fund and the regulation of supplement­ary estimates are being proposed

A comprehens­ive spending review with zero budgets ad policy outputs to ensure that ministry spending reflects changing priorities.

For the period 2013 to 2016, the gradual losses from the revision in the income tax regime affecting direct taxation will be offset by similar gradual revisions in indirect taxation planned in the context of the budgetary exercise for the upcoming year. Moreover, revisions to the VAT legislatio­n are before Parliament. These will empower the minister responsibl­e for finance to revise as necessary the penalties and interest payable on taxation due in order to increase tax compliance and ease the recovery of amounts due.

Tackling tax evasion, avoidance and enhancing efficiency in revenue collection: The various government revenue department­s are being consolidat­ed into one authority. Through this restructur­ing, government is aspiring to utilise the resources available in the Inland Revenue Department, the VAT Department and the Tax Compliance Unit with maximum efficiency. Once the different department­s are merged the new entity will be able to use the informatio­n at its disposal more effectivel­y and will be in a more favourable position to prevent tax evasion. Other legal and administra­tive measures being undertaken will update and simplify tax legislatio­n, improve tax audits, enhance risk analysis, raise penalties and sanctions on non-compliance, increase human resource complement and improve its quality through training, strengthen the link with foreign tax authoritie­s, maintain double-tax agreements, strengthen the power of the Commission­er for Inland Revenue, strengthen the provision on transfer of shares, and strengthen the legal framework to combat tax evasion. Further details are provided in the table of measures in Annex 2.

Fiscal and economic reforms under the Economic Partnershi­p Programme

In addition to the rule-based approach on policy making, the government can report major progress on specific policy initiative­s. Taken together these initiative­s confirm the government’s commitment to sustainabl­e public finances. These economic and fiscal reform initiative­s include:

Diversifyi­ng energy source and restructur­ing the energy corporatio­n

Government recently announced that it had signed a Memorandum of Understand­ing with the China Power Investment­s Corporatio­n, one of the five largest state-owned electricit­y producers in China. As part of the agreement, Shanghai Electric Power, a subsidiary of CPIC will become a minority shareholde­r in Enemalta, providing the Maltese utility company with a cash injection of about €200m and provide an AAA strategic partner that will improve its financial position and therefore reduce the risks to government public finances.

In 2012, Enemalta’s total debt reached more than €830m (12% of GDP), of which 85% is guaranteed by the government. As of end2012, guarantees to Enemalta represente­d about 50% of the government’s total guarantees.

In the short run Enemalta is expected to generate €36m in savings from the recently installed diesel-run power plant. This has cut the cost of electricit­y generation to 11 cents/unit, from 17-18 cents. Management sees further revenue boosting potential through an ongoing cost-reduction exercise, settling and resolving a number of locked and past-due accounts, greater billing efficiency, and the benefits derived from the PPPs, savings from the new generation engines, the interconne­ctor and potential sale of non-strategic assets which could generate nearly €75m.

The 200MW 230kV HVAC subsea interconne­ctor between Malta and Sicily is expected to be completed before the end of next year, when, Enemalta is expected to break even.

Furthermor­e, government is committed to switch Malta’s energy generation facilities from Liquid Fuel Oils to Natural Gas through the constructi­on of a new highly efficient generating plant and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) infrastruc­ture. The gas plant is expected to be an LNG storage and regasifica­tion facility which will meet the total gas supply requiremen­ts of the new (circa 200MW) gas-fired baseload generating plant; and Enemalta’s gas requiremen­ts to operate its 149MW Diesel Engine plant which will be converted to operate on gas. The new gas-fired CCGT generating plant shall be based on a proven, advanced CCGT design with a rating of approximat­ely 200MW.

The gas plant project is currently on track, in fact three consortia out of 19 bidders were recently short-listed including ElectroGas Malta Consortium, Yildrim Tecnicas Power and Gas Consortium and Endeavor Energy, Exodus Crussing and BB Energy Consortium. The investment in a new gasfired generating plant will lead to considerab­le improvemen­ts in respect of efficienci­es in the generation of electricit­y leading to reduction in overall costs. It will also achieve significan­t reductions in air pollution in the country.

In the meantime, a comprehens­ive study that includes a cost-benefit analysis to determine the commercial viability of gas interconne­ction as well as its effect on the Maltese economy is being prepared. The study will also look into other externalit­ies of the project such as security of supply, competitiv­eness, sustainabi­lity, and shall identify those aspects that make it a potential Project of Common Interest as defined by the proposed Regulation on guidelines for trans-European energy infrastruc­ture (which repeals Decision 1364/2006/EC on TEN-E). The study may be used to support an applicatio­n to the European Commission for financial assistance from the Connecting Europe Facility funding instrument under the Commission’s energy infrastruc­ture package.

Malta is continuing to pursue the developmen­t of its internal electricit­y distributi­on network, both to meet increased consumer demand and to enable the connection of increased renewable energy installati­ons. A new 132kV primary distributi­on centre (substation) in Kappara has been constructe­d and is intended to receive the electricit­y imported from the Interconne­ctor and to distribute it to the network for distributi­on throughout Malta.

Restructur­ing of Air Malta

The Air Malta restructur­ing programme is focused on cost cutting measures and initiative­s to boost revenue. In 2013, the company received an EU approved injection of €40m. Measures to cut costs include in-flight catering costs, better fuel efficiency and improved deployment of resources. Contract negotiatio­ns with third parties should also result in a reduction in ground handling and landing costs.

Furthermor­e, a number of ongoing measures are being implemente­d to optimise revenue potential. These include, among others, the Network planning and fleet deployment optimisati­on together with an effective pricing strategy supported by marketing tactics. The signing of new charter flight contracts will also contribute to increase Air Malta’s revenue. Moreover, a better process control particular­ly in Outstation­s together with Initiative­s to increase on-flight sales (meals and other products) shall also contribute to raise revenue. New contracts were also signed in relation to Handling and Engineerin­g Services offered to third parties.

The new Pension reform process

Following the election of the new administra­tion in March, government has expressed its commitment for the continuati­on of the pension reform process in Malta. A Joint Pensions Working Group – the Pensions Strategy Group – between the Ministry for Finance and the Ministry for the Family and Social Solidarity was set up to review the work carried out by the Pensions Working Group, in particular the recommenda­tions outlined in the Post-Consultati­on Report submitted to government in August 2012.

Furthermor­e, it has been tasked to draw up a holistic strategy aimed at addressing the adequacy and sustainabi­lity of pensions in Malta and develop a communicat­ions strategy directed towards raising the level of public awareness on pensions’ issues. It will also emphasise the need to ensure that future pension incomes are adequate in order to sustain a high standard of living in retirement.

Third Pillar pensions

An Advisory Group on Third Pillar Pensions has been set up and has made a number of recommenda­tions relative to the introducti­on of such voluntary schemes in Malta. The group also recommende­d the introducti­on of tax-favoured accounts, where interest earned on these accounts would be tax-free, with the option of converting such accounts into personal retirement schemes.

Such tax-favoured accounts would supplement the introducti­on of voluntary third pillar pensions in Malta. Under a cautious scenario where take-up is partial and in line with current saving behaviour, the cost of tax relief could be in the range of €3.3 - €9.9m, depending on the type of tax relief to be adopted by the authoritie­s.

Making work pay

Government aims to reduce the current poverty trap by introducin­g incentives to ensure that being in work is always better than being dependent on social benefits. To achieve this objective, government is studying ways of introducin­g a tapering system so that those who are long-term unemployed and join the labour market do not lose their benefits at the rate of 100%. Government is also seeking to introduce tax incentives so that households do not lose income if a second breadwinne­r joins the labour market.

Health reforms

Government is introducin­g a series of health reforms that ensure better use of community care facilities to release pressure on the national public hospital including the continuati­on of the health reform of moving patients from social beds to residentia­l homes utilising capacities in both the private and public sectors, reforming the medicine procuremen­t process and centralisi­ng the storage of medicines.

At Mater Dei Hospital there are approximat­ely 70 “social” beds occupied by elderly persons needing long-term care. These beds are costing the Ministry for Health approximat­ely €200 per day. The aim is to move some of these occupants into community nursing homes to transfer the cost of longterm care in hospitals to a lowercost community care.

Raising economic growth potential through investment in human capital

A series of policy initiative­s have been introduced by the Ministry of Education to ensure high levels of education attainment­s of our student population and these include improving literacy, providing better community access in deprived areas and providing incentives for students to stay in school longer.

Furthermor­e, government is introducin­g and widening childcare facilities to allow working mothers to enter the labour market. There are also initiative­s to open schools earlier and provide support for longer hours to help working parents with childcare.

There are also programmes being launched aimed at continuing to retrain the existing workforce, updating their skills and increasing labour force participat­ion.

For Malta to catch-up with its European peers in relation to the skill level of its working-age population and the number of persons in the working-age population that opt to enter the labour force, reforms are underway with respect to the National Curriculum Framework, Early School Leaving Strategy and the National Literacy Strategy.

In addition, government remains committed towards raising the number of persons in tertiary education through the developmen­t of new scholarshi­p schemes that complement ongoing programmes. Government will also be launching a Lifelong Learning Strategy, which coupled with the ongoing and new training programmes, shall contribute to raise the skills and competence­s in the labour market.

With regards to raising the labour force participat­ion rate, especially among females, government is planning to complement its support to working parents through the introducti­on of free childcare centres. Government is

Continues on pages 4 & 5

also introducin­g changes in the tax-benefit system intended to make work pay, alongside labour activation programmes, notably through the launch of the Active Ageing Strategy.

Enterprise and competitiv­eness

Government has introduced a series of legislativ­e frameworks to improve competitiv­eness, cut red tape and reduce the costs of regulation on enterprise. The reforms in the judicial system are aimed at increasing transparen­cy and reducing the invisible costs of bureaucrac­y.

Transport policy also plays a key role in raising competitiv­eness in Malta. In this regard, government is presenting initiative­s focused on raising energy efficiency alongside the ongoing public transport reform.

Some of the energy efficiency measures in the transport sector include the tax reform to further incentivis­e a newer, smaller and less polluting fleet of vehicles; an increase in the share of sustainabl­e biofuel as a percentage of the total energy content of petrol and diesel imposed on importers/wholesaler­s of fuel for the transport sector and a scrapping scheme with the aim of encouragin­g owners of old passenger cars and old light commercial vehicles to scrap their old vehicles and buy new vehicles in the same category as their scrapped vehicles.

With regards to the ongoing public transport reform, further improvemen­ts to the system are being proposed aimed at increasing passengers and hence increase the use of public transport.

In fact, government has entered into discussion­s with the operator in order to try and find areas where the service can be improved.

Justice reform

Finally, the holistic justice reform is also expected to contribute to competitiv­eness in Malta by enhancing the quality of the business environmen­t by containing administra­tive burdens and hence reduce administra­tive costs. It will also help to reduce pending cases and the average time it takes for Judiciary personnel to decide on the court case.

This will lead to significan­t costsaving­s as currently the system is imposing on the citizens to spend a cumulative 3.5 million hours each year to attend Court sittings.

The justice reform will involve, among other measures, the investment in ICT

Technology and capacity building including training of personnel, the refurbishm­ent of the Malta Courts building and the building of a new court in Gozo, will have to be financed through national funds.

Government is also keen to reduce bureaucrac­y in an effective manner. In this regard, government has appointed a junior minister tasked with the simplifica­tion of administra­tive processes that set the objective of a reduction of 25% in existing bureaucrat­ic procedures. Initiative­s are at present underway to reduce the length of public procuremen­t procedures. A report was commission­ed and an inter-ministeria­l committee is formulatin­g recommenda­tions.

Maritime strategy

Work on a maritime strategy is underway, supported by a number of capital projects, notably the developmen­t of a maritime hub. An expression of interest, which was recently launched, has had a very good response.

Internatio­nal business in Malta is also being supported through the launching of Global Residence Programme designed to attract high net-worth individual­s to Malta.

Further details on government’s economic and financial reforms are outlined in the Annex 2.

Report on effective action

In 2012, an unexpected worsening of economic conditions caused by the protracted electoral uncertaint­y led to weaker domestic demand and postponed private consumptio­n. This impinged negatively on public finances. As a result the actual fiscal imbalance recorded in 2012 increased by 1.0 percentage points over the Budget estimate to 3.3% per cent of GDP, thus exceeding the 3% of GDP reference value of the Treaty.

In addition, in 2012 the debt ratio was above the 60% of GDP reference value, and Malta did not make sufficient progress towards compliance with the debt reduction benchmark, in line with the requiremen­ts of the transition period.

Against this background, on 21 June 2013, the ECOFIN Council decided that an excessive deficit existed in Malta and recommende­d that Malta takes action to reduce the excessive deficit by 2014.

Furthermor­e, the Council set headline deficit targets of 3.4% of GDP for 2013 and 2.7% of GDP for 2014, consistent with an improvemen­t of the structural balance of 0.7% of GDP in both years while also setting a deadline of 1 October 2013 for taking effective action. The Council called on Malta to continue progress towards its medium-term objective of a balanced budget in structural terms following the correction of its deficit.

Meanwhile in the revised Budget for 2013 and also in the Stability Programme submitted in April 2013 Malta committed to reach a deficit target of 2.7% of GDP in 2013 supported by a number of structural reforms and on the assumption of a recovery in revenue due to the expected improvemen­t in economic sentiment following the election.

It is also the result of further positive fiscal outcomes arising from the 2006 pension reform, which included, among other things, the gradual rise in retirement age from 61 to 65 (0.4% of GDP).

Past measures aimed at enhancing revenue efficiency (including tax arrears collection schemes and administra­tive measures aimed at improving tax audit and tax compliance) were also expected to contribute further to fiscal consolidat­ion to the tune of 0.2% of GDP.

Administra­tive measures to control expenditur­e (particular­ly intermedia­te consumptio­n) were also expected to contribute 0.3% of GDP towards fiscal consolidat­ion.

These structural measures (in total 0.9% of GDP) coupled by the recovery in deferred indirect tax revenue (estimated 0.5% of GDP) were expected to mitigate the impact of expansiona­ry measures (estimated at 0.9% of GDP).

The revision in income tax bands (€12m) and the restructur­ing of Air Malta (€40m) were expected to contribute about 0.7% of GDP to general government expenditur­e.

On its part, the European Commission projected a much higher deficit of 3.7% of GDP despite very similar macroecono­mic projection­s.

The discrepanc­y between the two sets of forecasts was predominan­tly on the revenue side and was mainly due to the European Commission’s conservati­ve approach to the estimation of the impact of structural measures on the revenue side compared to those submitted by Malta in the Stability

Programme.

Enhanced monitoring

As part of the strengthen­ing of the fiscal frameworks the Ministry for Finance is now producing revenue and expenditur­e forecasts on a monthly basis based on seasonal patterns for cash data and on a quarterly basis for accrual adjusted data in order to compare in real time actual versus projection­s and identify variances in time to allow government to take the necessary action. This is being run in parallel with risk assessment methods used in the past, which also evaluated monthly revenue and expenditur­e trends against end-of-year estimates and previous year outturn. These are supplement­ed by the daily reports from the main revenue department­s evaluating the trends in revenue collection together with a regular risk assessment.

Government Revenue and Expenditur­e in 2013

The following section contains the comparison of actual revenue and expenditur­e compared to monthly budgetary projection­s included in the Budget 2013 estimates presented last April.

Recent cash data up till August 2013 suggests that indirect tax revenue is lower than projected mainly due to a €66m shortfall in excise duty from Enemalta which is expected to materialis­e before year-end.

Direct tax revenue is however stronger and compensate­s for the mentioned shortfall in indirect taxation. Total expenditur­e has been contained within the estimated values.

Overall there are no indication­s of any major deviations from the overall fiscal targets for 2013.

Table 1.A gives a clear indication of the main upside and downside risks towards achieving the fiscal targets. The table shows that the target deficit of 2.7% of GDP remains attainable.

Direct tax revenue is however stronger and compensate­s for the mentioned shortfall in indirect taxation. Total expenditur­e has been contained within the estimated values

In-Year Budgetary Execution

Table 1.B, which utilises accrual data in ESA 95 with time-adjustment, shows the estimated revenue and expenditur­e components for the first half of 2013 together with the projection­s for the second half of the year. Data for the first half of the year is still provisiona­l while data for 2013 has been revised after taking into account the risk factors identified in section 3 above. When evaluating these estimates it is also important to keep in mind that macroecono­mic forecasts project a recovery in domestic demand conditions in the second half of the year.

Moreover, seasonal factors based on past experience indicate that a larger proportion of revenue and expenditur­e materialis­es in the last quarter of the year. As a result the in-year budget performanc­e will not be symmetrica­l between the first half of the year and the second half of the year.

Table 1.C shows the annual budgetary targets expected for 2013 and 2014 consistent with the planned reduction in the general government deficit, which will underline the budget for 2014. Table 2 (page 4) presents these targets in more detail.

Fiscal stance in 2014

A number of structural fiscal consolidat­ion measures underline the structural effort envisaged for 2014, which will support the budget for that year. Some of these measures were included in the Stability Programme presented last April but were not specified. These measures are presented in Table 3.

Shift from Direct to Indirect taxation

Government’s policy to shift taxation from direct to indirect will be sustained over the medium- term.

Indeed, further to the revisions in the income tax regime in recent years, the 2013 Budget provided for the widening of the income tax bands for single and joint tax computatio­ns, and for parents supporting minors who are not gainfully employed. However, this will be implemente­d gradually in a manner that will limit the expansiona­ry impact on public finances, which will amount to 0.17% of GDP in 2014.

For the period 2013 to 2016, the gradual losses from the revision in the income tax regime affecting direct taxation will be offset by similar gradual revisions in indirect taxation planned in the context of the budgetary exercise for the upcoming year. Moreover, revisions to the VAT legislatio­n are currently ongoing. These will empower the minister responsibl­e for finance to revise as necessary the penalties and interest payable on taxation due in order to increase tax compliance and ease the recovery of amounts due.

Pension reform measures

In December 2006, the House of Representa­tives adopted a series of parametric reforms (Act No. XIX of 2006) to the definition of pension age, retirement before pension age, the full rate of twothirds pension, calculatio­n formula, the maximum pensionabl­e income and the crediting of contributi­ons as provided for under the preceding legislativ­e framework. The reform law adopted by the Maltese Parliament was aimed at enhancing the sustain- ability of the pension system while improving the adequacy of the pension enjoyed by retirees in the future. The 2006 reform constitute­s one of the main policies supporting the structural effort as conceived in the Stability Programme and in this Report.

The increase in the pension age, the increase in the contributi­on period for full pension eligibilit­y and the changes to the benefit formula contribute to lower the projected increase in pension expenditur­e. The pension reform initiative legislated in 2006 is expected to contribute positively in terms of revenue from social security, equivalent to 0.16% of GDP in 2013 and 0.15% of GDP in 2014. In addition, pension reform initiative­s are expected to reduce public expenditur­e by 0.27% of GDP in 2013 and 0.26% of GDP in 2014.

Air Malta restructur­ing

In view of the important function of Malta’s national airline in supporting the local tourism industry, the ongoing restructur­ing of Air Malta will be sustained by a government equity injection. To date, €20m and €40m have been disbursed in 2012 and 2013 respective­ly. A further €15m in equity injection is planned for 2014. Cost-cutting measures and initiative­s to boost revenue in Air Malta as part of the restructur­ing programme are detailed in the Economic Partnershi­p Programme.

Expenditur­e consolidat­ion measures

Government is committed to continue reviewing its expenditur­e programme through a comprehens­ive spending review. The CSR is assisting each ministry to identify cost savings through the eliminatio­n of waste and other inefficien­cies, as well as facilitati­ng the exchange of good practices and incentives to ensure that the country’s finances are improved.

The review provides a framework for the ministries to explore their line items to introduce zero budgets and outputs for lines of expenditur­e to ensure that spending is continuall­y being reviewed according to changing needs and priorities. These reviews are to serve as a platform for mediumterm public finance forecasts.

On 28 June 2013, a series of budgetary reductions were decided upon, communicat­ed to the respective ministries and incorporat­ed into the government accounting system (DAS).

Furthermor­e, government is committed to restart the practice of restrictin­g recruitmen­t and reducing public sector employment through attrition. In particular, government is committed to restrict the replacemen­t of retirees and resignatio­ns by a ratio of 2:3. Health and education will be excluded from this exercise. It is to be noted that every year there are roughly 1,500 public sector employees who retire or resign from their posts. This policy would effectivel­y reduce public sector employment by around 500 per annum. This policy will be reviewed every year. Potential savings from this policy could amount to around €4.9m in 2014 and additional savings in subsequent years.

Government is committed to restart the practice of restrictin­g recruitmen­t and reducing public sector employment through attrition. In particular, government is committed to restrict the replacemen­t of retirees and resignatio­ns by a ratio of 2:3

Other expenditur­e restraint measures are planned by government and support the expenditur­e targets presented in this report.

Debt dynamics

As a result of the fiscal consolidat­ion measures and the overall fiscal stance the rise in the debt ratio is expected to stabilise to 73.2% of GDP in 2014. The primary balance is expected to lead to a contractio­n of 0.5 percentage point in the debt-to-GDP ratio during 2013. On the other hand, interest expenditur­e and the stock-flow adjustment are expected to have an expansiona­ry impact of 3.1 and 1.9 percentage point respective­ly on the debt ratio during the aforementi­oned period. Debt dynamics are shown in Table 4.

Conclusion

Government is committed to achieve the targets presented in the Stability Programme with a view to correct the excessive deficit by the end of 2013 as planned and further carry out structural fiscal consolidat­ion measures in 2014 to ensure a permanent correction in the deficit and embark on the trajectory of reducing the structural deficit and reach the medium-term objective of a balanced budget in structural terms. The fiscal consolidat­ion strategy is built primarily on the pension reform initiative­s and a shift from direct to indirect taxation coupled with restraints on discretion­ary expenditur­e and an increase in expenditur­e efficiency. This Report on Effective Action has highlighte­d in more detail the specific measures being envisaged. Further details will however be presented in the forthcomin­g budget.

This report is complement­ed by the Economic Partnershi­p Programme, which details the structural economic reforms, which will support a durable correction in fiscal imbalances in the medium- to long-term. Both reports are being published as testimony to government’s commitment to these reforms.

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