The Malta Business Weekly

Malta at the top of Europe

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Seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.2% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.3% in the EU28 during the third quarter of 2018, compared with the previous quarter, according to an estimate published by

Eurostat, the statistica­l office of the European Union. In the

second quarter of 2018, GDP had grown by 0.4% in the euro area and by 0.5% in the EU28.

Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 1.6% in the euro area and by 1.8% in the EU28 in the third quarter of 2018, after +2.2% and +2.1% respective­ly in the previous quarter.

During the third quarter of 2018, GDP in the United States increased by 0.9% compared with the previous quarter (after +1.0% in the second quarter of 2018). Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, GDP grew by 3.0% (after +2.9% in the previous quarter).

GDP growth by Member State

Among Member States for which data are available for the third quarter of 2018, Malta (+3.6%) recorded the highest growth compared with the previous quarter, followed by Romania (+1.9%), Latvia and Poland (both +1.7%). Negative growth was observed in

(-0.3%), and (both -0.2%) and

Lithuania

Sweden

Italy (-0.1%).

GDP components and contributi­ons to growth

Germany

During the third quarter of 2018, household final consumptio­n expenditur­e rose by 0.1% in the euro area and by 0.3% in the EU28 (after +0.2% and +0.3% respective­ly in the previous quarter). Gross fixed capital formation increased by 0.2% in both the euro

area

EU28

and the (after +1.5% and +1.2%). Exports fell by 0.1% in the euro area and increased by 0.3% in the EU28 (after +1.0% and +0.7%). Imports increased by 0.5% in the euro area and 0.3% in the EU28 (after +1.1% and +1.0%).

Household final consumptio­n expenditur­e had a positive contributi­on to GDP growth in both the euro area and the EU28 (both +0.1 percentage points – pp) and the contributi­on from gross fixed capital formation was slightly pos- itive in both zones. The contributi­on of the external balance to GDP growth was negative for the euro area (-0.3 pp) and neutral (0.0 pp) for the EU28, while the contributi­on of changes in inventorie­s was positive for both the euro area (+0.3 pp) and the EU28 (+0.1 pp).

Employment growth in the euro area and EU28

The number of persons employed increased by 0.2% in both the area and the EU28 in the third quarter of 2018 compared with the

euro

previous quarter. In the second quarter of 2018, employment increased by 0.4% in both zones.

Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, employment increased by 1.3% in the euro area and by 1.2% in the EU28 in the third quarter of 2018 (after +1.5% and +1.3% respective­ly in the second quarter of 2018).

These data on employment provide a picture of labour input consistent with the output and income measure of national accounts.

Employment Member States

growth

in

Among Member States for which data are available for the third quarter of 2018, Malta (+0.9%), Cyprus and Lithuania (both +0.8%), Latvia, Luxembourg and Slovenia (all +0.7%) recorded the highest growth compared with the previous quarter. Decreases were observed in Estonia (0.8%), Bulgaria and Italy (both -0.3%), Croatia and Poland (both -0.2%) and Romania (0.1%).

Employment levels in the euro area and EU28

Based on seasonally adjusted figures, Eurostat estimates that in the third quarter of 2018, 239.3 million people were employed in the EU28, of which 158.3 million were in the euro area. These are the highest levels of employment ever recorded in both areas. More specifical­ly, the number of persons employed has increased by 9.6 million in the euro area and 15.2 million in the EU28 since the lowest level of employment after the financial crisis (2013 Q2 for euro area, 2013 Q1 for EU28).

Evolution of labour productivi­ty in the euro area and EU28

The combinatio­n of GDP and employment data allows an estimation of labour productivi­ty. The analysis of growth compared to the same quarter of the previous years shows that productivi­ty growth (based on employed persons) fluctuated around 1% for both zones since 2013. The last quarter shows a decline that is more pronounced for the euro area than for the EU28 since the slowdown of growth was relatively more pronounced for GDP than for employment in the euro area.

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