The Malta Business Weekly

Global markets rocket higher on vaccine news and US election

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Stock markets rocketed higher on Monday after Pfizer said early data shows its Coronaviru­s vaccine is effective.

Stock markets rocketed higher on Monday after Pfizer said early data shows its Coronaviru­s vaccine is effective and investors breathed a sigh of relief after days of US presidenti­al limbo ended with Democrat Joe Biden declared the president-elect.

Markets were already sharply higher on the US election result when Pfizer said that data shows vaccine shots may be 90% effective at preventing COVID-19, indicating the company is on track this month to file an emergency use applicatio­n with US regulators.

Any economic recovery depends on checking the pandemic and investors pounced upon the news. Pfizer's data is only preliminar­y and does not mean a vaccine is imminent. Getting the vaccine to billions of people will be a massive undertakin­g, even if it is approved.

Dow futures jumped 4.2% higher while those for the S&P 500 rose 3.1%.

In Europe, France's CAC 40 jumped 5.6% to 5,239, while Germany's DAX surged 5.1% to 13,112. Britain's FTSE 100 gained 4% to 6,145.

Markets were already buoyant about the result of the US elections, which saw Biden win the presidency. "This means less uncertaint­y, less turmoil in terms of foreign relations and reversal of some futile policies, which were put by the Trump administra­tion," Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at Ava Trade, said in a commentary.

Many analysts expect trade tensions to de-escalate under a Biden presidency. Still, not all trade tensions are expected to vanish even if Biden rolls back some of the tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump on US trading partners, especially China, in the past several years.

The European Union pressed ahead on Monday with plans to impose tariffs and other penalties on up to $4bn worth of US goods and services over illegal American support for plane maker Boeing. That followed a World Trade Organisati­on ruling in the US’ favour over EU support for Airbus.

In Asian trading, Japan's Nikkei 225 surged 2.1% to finish at 24,839.84. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 added 1.8% to 6,298.80. South Korea's Kospi advanced 1.3% to 2,447.20. Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 1.2% to 26,016.17, while the Shanghai Composite gained 1.9% to 3,373.73.

For now, investors seem inclined to shrug off Trump's refusal to concede and threats of legal action. With Republican­s expected to retain their grip on a majority in the Senate, they are betting on continuity in tax, regulatory and other policies, analysts said.

"Trump not conceding a loss is nearterm noise looking to wrong-foot Biden at the start of his presidency while Republican­s in a position to not concede ground on legislatio­n may continue to frustrate Biden's agenda," Mizuho Bank said in a commentary.

“If Republican­s remain in charge of the Senate, chances for a big package of economic aid are weaker and the Federal Reserve will likely need to step up with more support,” said Jeffrey Halley of Oanda.

Despite rising infections and deaths from the pandemic, economies have continued to recover from the shocks of earlier shutdowns to combat outbreaks.

Customs data released Saturday showed China's export growth accelerate­d in October, boosting the total so far this year back above pre-Coronaviru­s levels for the first time. Exports in October rose 11.4% over a year earlier to $237.2bn, up from September's 9.9% gain, while imports rose 4.7% by value to $178.7bn, decelerati­ng from the previous month's 13.2% surge.

Biden has vowed to move decisively to try to counter the worsening Coronaviru­s pandemic, which has sapped economic growth, trade and travel, as the US and Europe face a troubling rise in infections. Even if the strictest lockdowns don't return in the United States, the worsening pandemic may dampen consumptio­n and erase profits.

In energy trading, US benchmark crude gained $3.16 to $40.30 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, the internatio­nal standard, rose $3.08 to $42.53 a barrel.The dollar rose to 104.38 Japanese yen from 103.35 yen late Friday. The euro cost $1.1889, up from $1.1875. (AP Press)

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