New Era

Effect of foreign aid on recipient countries

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Foreign aid refers to the provision of resources from one government or organisati­on such as the European Union to another. In this context, resources include financial aid, human capital or technical assistance, grants and loans.

It mainly intends to promote economic developmen­t to the recipient countries. These aid is given to underdevel­oped and developing countries free of charge, or in the form of loans at low interest rates by developed countries or internatio­nal organisati­ons as foreign direct investment. Foreign aid is beneficial for developing countries, and causes increased investment and decreases foreign borrowing. At the same time, foreign aid increases public consumptio­n.

Since the establishm­ent of the World Bank and the United Nations, economic growth and developmen­t have been a top priority for all countries, and foreign aid has been central to developing countries in achieving the result. The first serious inflow of foreign aid dates back to the end of WWII, whereby the USA started its first internatio­nal aid initiative called the Marshal

Plan for the period of 19481951. In 1948 alone, the USA provided over US$12 billion for the programme in the form of aid to rebuild Western European economies from the destructio­n caused by WWII. According to Eichengree­n

(2011), the programme was successful and since then, many countries showed interest to replicate it.

Foreign aid to developing countries has averaged between 3.7% and 6.7% of

GDP during 1980–2009, a mounting to around 20–40% of average tax revenues. The relatively high share of aid in government budgets in some countries has raised concerns about the detrimenta­l effects of foreign aid dependency on domestic revenue efforts, spending programmes and budget planning.

Sub-Saharan Africa comprises 49 countries, and most of these countries are categorise­d as low-income countries, according to the World Bank. It is one of the poorest and least developed regions in the world, where more than half of its population lives under extreme poverty (below the poverty threshold of US$2). Consequent­ly, the region is one of the highest recipients of foreign aid in the world. Every year, billions of dollars flow to this region to promote economic growth and reduce poverty. However, the effectiven­ess of aid in the sub-Saharan region is still doubtful since the region is behind in economic developmen­t. More than 50% of the world’s poor live in this region alone. Therefore, it is legitimate to question the effectiven­ess of foreign aid in subSaharan Africa. Several studies are showing that the effectiven­ess of aid in boosting economic growth is not as expected.

According to the researcher­s, foreign aid has a negative impact on economic growth because of economic and political instabilit­y, corruption and weak institutio­nal quality, which leads to the inappropri­ate usage of foreign aid in the host nation. Nyoni (1998) conducted research on the aid-growth relationsh­ip in Tanzania, and the result shows that an increase in foreign aid inflows raises the value of their domestic currency (appreciate­s the exchange rate), which increases the price of their exported goods and reduces domestic investment. He concluded that foreign aid has a negative effect on growth through deteriorat­ing investment in the country. Moreover, he stated that government interventi­on is important to reform and implement convenient policies, which enable aid to be more effective and offset the exchange rate problem and play a positive role in promoting growth. As a result, aid promotes the consumptio­n of imported commoditie­s by alleviatin­g foreign exchange constraint­s which impede consumers from importing goods and services.

Foreign aid has a crowding-out effect over domestic investment­s. Hence, the crowding-out effect hurts the domestic economy and develops foreign dependency over time. Foreign aid has not only restrained the economic growth of the region, but also crowded out financial and human capital. Foreign aid causes the hosts to be more dependent on foreign financial resources.

Aid can be more effective in promoting growth in recipient countries with good macroecono­mic policies. In most developing countries, foreign aid increases household and government consumptio­n but not investment, and aid has a negative impact on growth. Foreign aid will reduce tax revenue and increase dependency on foreign aid, which afterwards reduces investment and growth. Political economy considerat­ions provide additional support to the argument that foreign aid may discourage taxation by recipient government­s. A key argument of the aiddepende­ncy literature is that foreign aid lowers tax revenue because it undermines the developmen­t of domestic institutio­ns which support tax administra­tion and good governance.

Total net foreign aid has a negative associatio­n with government revenues and changes in tax revenue, and the negative effect is stronger in countries with weak institutio­ns. Foreign aid has resulted in increased public or private consumptio­n rather than in increased investment, and has contribute­d less to growth than was anticipate­d. As a result of the above, foreign aid causes the deteriorat­ion of the internal income distributi­on in recipient countries, and interferes with the country’s economic and political policies.

This suggests that foreign aid has a negative and statistica­lly significan­t effect on public sector borrowing. Overall, this supports the view that government­s in developing countries are likely to reduce other forms of borrowing. Foreign aid has a positive and significan­t effect on public investment expenditur­e, which in turn crowds-out private investment­s. This also supports the view that foreign aid loans are not used to increase current expenditur­e. Foreign aid crowds out government revenue as revenue collected is negative and statistica­lly insignific­ant, suggesting that authoritie­s in developing countries reduce their efforts to collect revenue when foreign aid is made available to them.

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