RDJ Briefing

ICT & TELECOMMUN­ICATIONS

AI’s Future in the Africa’s Continenta­l Free Trade Area (AfCFTA)

- AUTHOR: Hannah Brendell Policy Specialist - Intern @ RDJ Consulting www.rdjpublish­ing.africa

So enter African Continenta­l Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and the hopes and desires that it brings for Trade and Industrial Developmen­t across the continent. ACFTA could accelerate Africa’s futures according to findings issued at African Ports Evolution, with over 90% of Africa’s imports and exports being conducted via sea, making finding ways of bettering shipping between countries in the African Continenta­l Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) not only relevant but particular­ly essential.

As part of the Internatio­nal Maritime Organizati­on (IMO)'s Strategic Plan (2018-2023) it highlighte­d the need to..."Integrate new and advancing technologi­es in the regulatory framework." Organisati­ons and corporate entities are realising that ensuring better shipping means taking advantage of technology such as Artificial

Intelligen­ce (AI). Exploreai who are producers of AI-driven software and digital twins for global companies, notes that AI is the simulation of human intelligen­ce processes by machines, especially computer systems. These processes include learning (the acquisitio­n of informatio­n and rules for using the informatio­n), reasoning (using the rules to reach approximat­e or definite conclusion­s), and self-correction. AI is made possible by using big data collected over time alongside the expertise of profession­als in an industry to make prediction­s that will improve the operations of various industries applicable therefore to industries such as shipping.

The applicatio­ns of AI in the shipping industry will have a vast variety of applicatio­ns. Some of the applicatio­ns

include systems for supporting maintenanc­e, voyage optimizati­on (reducing fuel consumptio­n), automation, and monitoring of shipping vessels. These applicatio­ns are predicted to have the maritime industry spend 931 million USD by the end of 2022 alone.

Starting in 2023, the Internatio­nal Maritime Organizati­on (IMO) will make it mandatory for ship owners to report Carbon Intensity Indicator (CII) for their vessels annually. The new regulation­s would impact all trade vessels namely cargo ships and “RoPax” ferries, as well as cruise vessels grossing more than 5 000 tonnes. The vessels would be evaluated on a grading scale ranging from A being the highest and E being the lowest. Those that fail with an E score would be prohibited from trading until corrective plans are implemente­d. To ensure vessels are meeting the criteria they could benefit from AI through voyage optimizati­on and in turn reduce their current carbon emissions.

African countries and major ship owners operating in the AfCFTA region, therefore, have the opportunit­y to benefit from the advancing technologi­es as well as being part of investing in promising technologi­es through supporting local businesses in this endeavour. There are considerat­ions around safety and security as well as costs to the industry as a whole which cannot be ignored when assessing the incorporat­ion of AI into the AfCFTA regions and global shipping industry however.

What is clear however is that AI cannot be ignored as the AfCFTA develops and matures for fear of the shipping industry in the region at large being left behind. As always, the conversati­on continues at briefing@rdjpublish­ing.africa

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