Political parties focus...

the parliament. After the government fails to endorse the government policy and programmes, Oli should resign and efforts for an alternative government will be started. Even if a section in JSP will take Oli’s side, there will be a rare chance for the formation of an alternative government. If failed to constitute an alternative government, Oli will get a chance to dissolve the parliament and call an early election under his government.

JSP as kingmaker:

There are 36 MPs in JSP. If JSP will side with NC and Maoist Center, the opposition parties will be able to give an alternative government. If JSP will be divided on the issue of formation of an alternative

government, above 17 MPs will take side with Thakur, whereas, rest of the MPs may take side with Upendra Yadav and Baburam Bhattarai who are viewing for the formation of an alternative government. However, only 17 JSP MPs are not enough to manage the necessary majority to form an alternative government. There is the need to manage 138 votes to form a government. NC holds the strength of 63 MPs, whereas, Maoist Center holds only 49 MPs after dismissing five MPs including Ram Bahadur Thapa who are the minister in the Oli led government. For Oli also, given intensified intra-party dispute in the UML, it is not easy to manage 138 votes. There is a strong possibility of floor-crossing from the UML MPs in the Madhav Nepal faction.