Re­call­ing Chi­nese en­voy Guo­hong's re­marks, CPEC and two Koreas

People's Review - - COMMENTARY -

Nepal has now no op­tion left other than to quit the In­dia en­gi­neered BIMSTEC Bay of Ben­gal body with which per­haps Nepal has not even dis­tance re­la­tions save the mon­soon dark clouds en­ter­ing Nepal in the rainy sea­son. BIMSTEC has been de­signed to ben­e­fit In­dia and In­dia alone. No sec­ond the­ory could jus­tify the BIMSTEC ben­e­fits be­cause it is not avail­able so far. It is just for In­dia only. Oth­ers are tail only. Al­beit, as in­di­vid­ual coun­tries en­gaged in the BIMSTEC, Nepal en­joys the ex­panded and jovial ties with each and ev­ery coun­tries and in turn the coun­tries too pos­sess im­mense love and re­spect for this Hi­malayan na­tion badly tor­tured by the South­ern neigh­bor since 1950. China, the north­ern neigh­bor, is silent which ap­par­ently means that she is watch­ing closely the Nepali po­lit­i­cal over­tures and time per­mit­ting may take a step that may be of im­mense im­por­tance for this coun­try which could also have some neg­a­tive im­pact on the In­dian poli­cies be­ing charted for Nepal. The Chi­nese si­lence may one fine morn­ing shake Chi­nese in­ter­ests in Nepal and much be­yond. Is this si­lence meant for con­serv­ing the en­ergy? China by this time has al­ready un­der­stood PM Oli’s In­dia dic­tated and doc­tored tricks that Nepal is sim­ply dilly-dal­ly­ing the Chi­nese Pres­i­dent Xi Jump­ing’s visit and has been more than de­sired in­ter­ested in Nepali af­fairs. China knows that the Nepali lead­er­ship can­not be trusted and thus what­ever she should do or in­tends to do will have to be done in the “name of the Nepali peo­ple” but not of the po­lit­i­cal an­i­mals who “re­port” each and ev­ery de­tails of the talks what they at times talk with the north­ern neigh­bor. This is widely be­lieved so here in Nepal, though such near to close pre­sumed claims needs yet to be sub­stan­ti­ated. Yet what is for sure is that PM Oli may push Pres­i­dent Xi’s Nepal visit date farther un­der alien pres­sure, but the peo­ple wish that the Chi­nese Pres­i­dent at least lands in Nepal for few hours and makes some mega projects an­nounce­ment in fa­vor of Nepal and its peo­ple which the suc­ces­sive lead­ers could not sell at a dirt cheap price as Fi­nance Min­is­ter Ma­hesh Acharya did dur­ing the dic­ta­to­rial regime of late Gir­ija Prasad Koirala. Pres­i­dent Xi should at­tach con­di­tions that no China gifts to Nepal could be sold at any cost. Or else, Mr. Acharya shall emerge from nowhere and sell as he did in the past. Pres­i­dent XI shall not ar­rive Nepal this year end as PM Modi has al­ready “booked” Nepal for his yet an­other flimsy trip. Oli can’t deny even if it hurts Pres­i­dent Xi. If Pres­i­dent Xi is yet to read and un­der­stand PM Oli then no teacher in the world is left to make him know about Oli’s de­clared In­dia bend and in­ter­nal plans for In­dia. PM Oli is strong na­tion­al­ist be “de­fault” and thus he is an ac­ci­den­tal com­mu­nist. I re­call, around 2009 or 2010, the then Chi­nese Am­bas­sador Qiu Guo­hong speak­ing at a me­dia in­ter­ac­tion pro­gram in Ghat­tekulo, Anam­na­gar chaired By Mr. Kishor Shrestha had lamented that “I am sorry to say, the fac­to­ries that had built by China for the peo­ple of Nepal as gifts have all been sold”. This is painful. This is what a sit­ting Chi­nese Am­bas­sador had told this for the first time in front of this scribe and this writer later made a small ed­i­to­rial based on what the Chi­nese en­voy Guo­hang had said. How­ever, nei­ther the or­ga­nizer of the event nor the other mem­bers of the Me­dia So­ci­ety which had or­ga­nized the pro­gram wrote against the regime that sold the en­tire China aided projects. The same per­sons are very close to the Chi­nese Em­bassy which makes us happy when we un­der­stand as to how the Chi­nese diplo­macy in Kath­mandu func­tions? Am­bas­sador Wu Chuntai knew about this event and took in a light man­ner. Da­hal upon re­turn from Delhi went to China with a hope that he would be greeted by the Chi­nese au­thor­i­ties as he had been em­braced in Delhi by PM Modi and the men who ben­e­fit from Da­hal’s hob­nob is they used to ben­e­fit dur­ing peo­ple’s war days. How­ever, Da­hal was re­ceived by a RED vest China of­fi­cial and in do­ing so China sig­naled Da­hal what he meant for the Chi­nese and also where he stood in Chi­nese pol­i­tics vis-à-vis Nepal? Men­tally dis­turbed Da­hal may have now plans un­der his In­dia-mea­sured cut-sleeves to desta­bi­lize his bête-noir PM KP Oli. Da­hal’s rest­less­ness could be ob­served in his fa­cial ap­pear­ances which speaks vol­umes as to how he is spend­ing his days in foot­path with­out hav­ing the power but­tons. With­out Chair, Da­hal can’t spend even a sin­gle minute at least this is be­ing ru­mored about him. And here is Mr. Mad­hav Ku­mar Nepal who has found in Mr. Da­hal a new friend who could be trusted in shak­ing the PM Oli regime as much as both could in a com­bined man­ner. And in­ter­est­ingly, both the restive po­lit­i­cal an­i­mals, Mr. Nepal and Da­hal, ap­par­ently en­joy the tacit back­ing of the en­tire In­dian es­tab­lish­ment whose sin­gle agenda is to kick PM Oli out from the cov­eted seat of Nepal PM. Need­less to say, the men who shake Nepal in the en­tire In­dian ad­min­is­tra­tion may have con­verged in Kath­mandu ho­tels and plan­ning their next moves on how to un­seat PM Oli and in­stall a PM of In­dian taste, ei­ther Mr. Nepal or if not then Prachanda, the for­mer shel­tered fa­vorites. China has no role in the en­tire change game but yet the In­dian em­bassy shall ex­ploit such op­por­tune mo­ments to its ben­e­fits. China’s ab­sence in ma­neu­ver­ing al­lows In­dia to pen­e­trate more di­rectly. For such oc­ca­sions, some do­mes­tic sleuths work­ing for South are al­ways at “ser­vice” as Am­bas­sador Puri has kept them in good shape and form ex­pect­edly. Am­bas­sador Puri is an ex­pert of “mi­cro­man­age­ment”, we have been told. This topic is of spe­cial in­ter­est to him, this has also come to our no­tice. Mr. Nepal all of a sud­den has be­come vo­cal against PM Oli. This should, at least for this scribe, mean that ap­pro­pri­ate sig­nals have al­ready en­tered Nepal bor­ders and Mr. Nepal has caught the right sig­nals in Hertz’s wave­lengths. Hav­ing said all these, one event that is bog­gling Kath­mandu ob­servers is why Mr. Nepal has been in­vited by China when China un­der­stands that Mr. Nepal is not its cup of tea but yet the mo­tive of his fresh trip to China is re­ally very dif­fi­cult to un­der­stand. Or is it Chi­nese quiet diplo­macy? Let Mr. Nepal’s friend­ship with China grow in the days to come which per­haps we shall fail to see in our own life time. As if Mr. Nepal, and Da­hal’s anger against PM Oli were not enough, Mr. JN Khanal too has joined the band wagon that has tar­geted its guns to­wards PM Oli. This means that three AK47 Ri­fles are all set to shake the foun­da­tion of the al­ready shaken Oli’s power struc­ture. Oli’s long ab­sence from Nepal has awarded this op­por­tu­nity to Mr. Nepal, Da­hal and Khanal to work in tan­dem with the sin­gle aim which is to un­seat PM Oli. In­dia gets what she wants or even de­sires. Lucky. PM Oli too needs a shock of Hi­malayan order as his ut­ter­ances are too rude and brute not be­com­ing of a coun­try’s Prime Min­is­ter. The Nir­mala Pant rape case is sure to bring Oli down to foot path should the in­ves­ti­ga­tion go the way it should. Oli’s rough and tough ut­ter­ances have irked the na­tional pop­u­la­tion giv­ing an im­pres­sion that “less ed­u­cated” peo­ple ap­par­ently talk in a man­ner to what our PM prefers to talk. PM Oli in­stead of tour­ing Costa Rica should have made a mod­est visit to the SAARC cap­i­tals in order to re­vive the al­most In­dia killed re­gional body-the SAARC. The man­ner the In­dian FM Swaraj boy­cotted the SAARC coun­cil of min­is­ters meet chaired by Nepal is an in­sult of this coun­try whose lead­ers drop in Delhi to

get blessed. This then should not be taken as an in­sult. But for the na­tion­al­ists who do not bend in Delhi is an in­sult of the high­est order and Nepal must sound Delhi that if Delhi doesn’t cor­rect its “in­sult Nepal pol­icy” then Nepal is free to scrap its mem­ber­ship from the BIMSTEC to be­gin with. Nepal should learn some lessons from the new Pak­istani Prime Min­is­ter on how to ob­serve and bring into ef­fect the aus­ter­ity mea­sures. “Small men in high of­fices” is how the Pak PM took PM Modi. Let’s now talk some­thing about the new de­vel­op­ments in CPEC: The next de­vel­op­ment of CPEC will be based on Pak­istan's so­cioe­co­nomic pri­or­i­ties so says Pak­istani Se­nate Chair­man Sadiq San­jrani who said on last Fri­day that Pak­istan was com­mit­ted to com­plet­ing the China-Pak­istan Eco­nomic Cor­ri­dor (CPEC) and will sup­port China over is­sues of its core in­ter­ests. Such state­ments have come at a time when the west­ern and the In­dian me­dia have tar­geted the CPEC projects and have been dis­sem­i­nat­ing news that “Chi­nese debt trap” shall eat up Pak­istan in some years. China says that such state­ments are all non­sense. Even the In­dian lobby has be­gun writ­ing on Nepal as China is also think­ing on how to bring Nepal into the much pub­li­cized debt trap. The en­trance of Saudi Ara­bia in the CPEC scheme has now capped the non­sense ru­mors be­ing spread from known in­im­i­cal quar­ters. The Se­nate chair­man made the re­marks dur­ing a func­tion held in Is­lam­abad, adding that Pak­istan val­ues re­la­tions with China as the bi­lat­eral re­la­tion­ship is the cor­ner stone of Pak­istan's for­eign poli­cies, Xin­hua re­ported. Notably, Sen­a­tor Mushahid Hus­sain too has spo­ken on these lines in the re­cent days. He is vo­cal and has been fa­vor­ing the CPEC since the very be­gin­ning. "Po­lit­i­cal tran­si­tion in Pak­istan will not af­fect Pak­istan's China pol­icy and the new govern­ment will con­tinue work­ing closely with China to achieve our bi­lat­eral ob­jec­tions," San­jrani said at the Chi­nese em­bassy in Is­lam­abad. The Se­nate chair­man said the Pak­istani peo­ple ap­pre­ci­ate China's sup­port over Pak­istan's core is­sues of na­tional se­cu­rity and vowed his coun­try will con­tinue to stick to the one-China pol­icy and sup­port China on is­sues of its core in­ter­ests. He also hailed China as a model of eco­nomic growth to the low in­come coun­tries in Asia, Africa and South Amer­ica, adding that Pak­istan ap­pre­ci­ates and sup­ports the China-pro­posed Belt and Road Ini­tia­tive and vi­sion of shared pros­per­ity and win-win co­op­er­a­tion. Be­fore we wind up, let us look into the lat­est from Korean Penin­sula which of late has taken a sigh of relief than to the ex­tra en­ergy shown by Repub­lic of Korea Pres­i­dent Moon Jae-in who has over these months ac­com­plished task that were sim­ply taken as im­pos­si­ble un­til some­time in the re­cent past. He has set the peace-ball rolling and chances have bright­ened that Peace shall fi­nally dawn in the trou­bled Penin­sula should the ini­ti­ated ef­forts con­tinue un­til the de­sired goals are achieved. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and South Korean Pres­i­dent Moon Jae-in, fol­low­ing talks in Py­ongyang , re­it­er­ated their shared de­sire to see the Korean penin­sula “turned into a land of peace that is free of nu­clear weapons and nu­clear threats, so writes Daryl G Kim­bell early Oc­to­ber 2018. He fur­ther writes, “In their Sept. 19 joint state­ment, the two lead­ers agreed on the need to take tangible steps to­ward re­solv­ing the nu­clear is­sue, stat­ing, “sub­stan­tial progress to­ward this end must be made in a prompt man­ner.” Moon’s diplo­macy puts ad­di­tional pres­sure on North Korea and the United States to re­solve their diplo­matic im­passe over the terms for Kim giv­ing up his nu­clear ar­se­nal on a short timetable. At the same time, Moon’s ac­tive ef­forts to lower ten­sions and ex­pand co­op­er­a­tion con­trasts with U.S. Pres­i­dent Don­ald Trump’s “max­i­mum pres­sure” strat­egy, in­clud­ing sanc­tions in­tended to squeeze the Kim regime eco­nom­i­cally. Pres­i­dent Moon is more or less like a cat­a­lyst for both the US and the North Korean leader whose stren­u­ous ef­forts have pressed both the strong men to inch closer for find­ing com­mon good that bring in per­ma­nent peace in the en­tire re­gion and sat­is­fies the coun­tries’ prime con­cerns. That’s all.

N.P. UPADHYAYA (Tele­graph Nepal editor@ tele­graph­nepal.com)

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