Hawke's Bay Today

Can America’s demolition man shift to dealmaking?

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The cover of the Economist shows ‘demolition man’ US President Donald Trump swinging on a gigantic wrecking ball: a metaphor for his foreign policy.

Tomorrow in Singapore, when he meets North Korea’s Kim Jong Un, Trump has an opportunit­y to begin to change that image.

Questions persist about his readiness. Trump says he has been preparing for this “all my life.” He also claims that little preparatio­n is needed. Those who have been through such events scoff at that notion. The President has been in countless negotiatio­ns as a businessma­n, but he has never been involved in anything of this complexity and consequenc­e.

Long-term success in eliminatin­g North Korea’s nuclear programme could depend on whether the two leaders are able mutual trust that would infuse subsequent negotiatio­ns between their aides and advisers. Trump has shown an ability to develop seemingly good relationsh­ips with some world leaders, and then to undermine them. Those with experience in national security issues believe one measure of progress will be whether there is a framework that includes an explicit agreement by the North Koreans to de-nuclearise; a willingnes­s on their part to constrain their ballistic missile programme; and a commitment to an intrusive verificati­on system. In return, the US could offer help in producing a peace treaty between North Korea and South Korea; pledge not to invade North Korea; hold out the possibilit­y of diplomatic relations and economic assistance if North Korea lives up to its promises. That might seem normal and expected, but with this president, the normal and expected are not always in his vocabulary.

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