National surges, Labour takes major hit in new poll

Labour has suffered a dramatic drop in support in a new political poll.

National has shot up to 40.5 per cent, up 9.5 points in tonight’s Newshub-Reid Research poll.

Labour meanwhile has dropped 6.1 points to 38.2 per cent.

Act has dropped 1.6 points to 6.4 per cent and the Green Party is down 1.2 points to 8.4 per cent.

Te Pāti Māori has increased its share of the vote by 0.5 points to 2.5 per cent.

Of the parties outside Parliament, NZ First was on 1.7 per cent, The Opportunities Pary 0.9 per cent and Conservative Party 0.7 per cent.

Ardern told Newshub the results reflected a “really hard time“.

The numbers would give National 51 seats and Act 8, still short of the 61 required to form a majority in 120-seat House.

Labour would get 48 seats and Green Party 10, also not enough to get back into power.

If Te Pāti Māori held Waiariki it would get three seats, and occupy the kingmaker position.

For preferred prime minister, Jacinda Ardern experienced a seven point drop to 36.3 per cent. National leader Christopher Luxon meanwhile saw a 6.1 point bump to 23.9 per cent.

However, despite National polling highest it would not be able to form a government, with Te Pāti Māori continuing to rule out working with the Act Party.

Recent polls have placed National slightly above Labour, the last one in April by Taxpayers’ Union-Curia put the Opposition one point ahead.