Manawatu Standard

Finding skilled labour still ‘biggest problem’

- Tom Pullar-strecker

ANZ says its latest survey of business confidence has found firms’ biggest problem remains finding skilled labour.

Despite the impact of Covid-19, recession-linked problems such as cashflow, debtors and access to finance were ‘‘well down the list’’ of most firms’ woes, ANZ said.

The bank said the finding was ‘‘perhaps surprising’’, given the higher level of unemployme­nt caused by Covid. But it said the closed border was making skilled labour harder to import.

‘‘There is undoubtedl­y a significan­t skills mismatch between those who have lost their jobs in retail and services, and the parts of the economy with the strongest employment intentions – constructi­on and agricultur­e,’’ it said.

A report from the Reserve Bank yesterday suggested the labour market had become ‘‘less efficient’’ since the global financial crisis in 2008, meaning that higher levels of jobs vacancies could persist at a higher level of unemployme­nt.

Possible explanatio­ns could include a decline in the transferab­ility of skills, it suggested.

Business confidence appears still fragile but slightly improving, less than three weeks out from the election, according to ANZ’S survey. In its last full monthly survey before polling day, ANZ reported that businesses appeared confident that the ‘‘second outbreak’’ of Covid-19 in the community was well under control. A net 29 per cent of firms surveyed believed ‘‘general business conditions’’ would deteriorat­e over the coming year, which was an improvemen­t on ANZ’S August survey but down slightly on responses it received earlier in September. Businesses’ confidence in their future was at its highest since February, at a net negative 5.4 per cent, ‘‘far removed’’ from its deep low of negative 55 points in April, ANZ said. Most indicators ticked up as September progressed, including firms’ employment and investment intentions.

The bank’s interpreta­tion of the survey was that businesses were ‘‘hanging in there’’, it said.

There was also ‘‘real pain’’ in the services and retail sectors, it said.

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