Nelson Mail

Anzac rhetoric makes Erdogan top demagogue

- Gwynne Dyer

You can keep your Orban, your Netanyahu, your pathetic Boris Johnson. As for Donald Trump, he’s really an icon of democracy, just slightly shop-soiled. The coveted title of World’s Leading Demagogue has just gone to Turkish President Recep Tayyib Erdogan.

Erdogan may look like an ageing, disappoint­ed post office clerk, passed over for promotion too many times, but he can take an ignorant remark from halfway around the planet and inflate it into an existentia­l threat to Turkey’s future. He’s desperatel­y trying to rally support for his AK party in local elections due at the end of the month, so what better theme than the threat of an invasion by New Zealand?

‘‘Your grandparen­ts came here,’’ he warned the savage New Zealand hordes, ‘‘and they returned in caskets. Have no doubt that we will send you back like your grandfathe­rs.’’ He had already warmed the crowd up by showing them footage of the massacre of New Zealand Muslims, so they cheered that line.

He was speaking at a rally commemorat­ing the Ottoman Empire’s victory over British and Allied troops who landed at Gallipoli, 200 kilometres southwest of Istanbul, in 1915. Anzac troops played a big part in that World War I battle, which is one of the founding myths of modern Turkish nationalis­m.

So Erdogan’s audience would not necessaril­y have giggled when he defiantly warned the evil New Zealanders: ‘‘We have been here for 1000 years and will be here until the apocalypse, God willing. You will not turn Istanbul into Constantin­ople.’’ There he stood, metaphoric­al sword in hand, turning back the Kiwi neoCrusade­rs single-handed, and the world heavyweigh­t title for demagoguer­y was his.

First, a couple of niggling details.

Istanbul is Constantin­ople. The name hasn’t changed. Istanbul is just the Turkish pronunciat­ion of the old Greek popular name for the city, ‘‘Stamboul’’.

Second, the Turks have not been there for 1000 years. They conquered the city in 1453. Before that, it was Christian for rather more than 1000 years. But you don’t want to get caught up in the details when you’re holding a flaming sword.

And third, I have never met anybody in Europe who wants it ‘‘back’’. It would be as ridiculous as somebody in the Muslim world wanting Granada or Seville back.

Oh, wait a minute. I have met Muslims who want Granada and Seville back. They tend to be of the Islamist persuasion, but there is a quite widespread conviction in the Arab world that the original 7thcentury conquests that gave Muslims control of half of the thenChrist­ian world were legitimate, whereas the 12th-century European counter-offensive that tried to take some of them back, the Crusades,

Turkey is safe. But the old tribal buttons are still there to be pushed.

was illegitima­te aggression.

It was really just the ebb and flow of empires, with religion mostly as cover.

The Muslims, or at least the Ottoman Turks, were on the offensive again by the 15th century, almost reaching Vienna by 1688. Then the tide turned again, and the British Empire was almost at the gates of Istanbul in 1915. Nothing to get excited about – and now it’s over.

It really is over. Legally, it has not been permissibl­e to change borders by force since the United Nations Charter was written in 1945 – and in fact, few have changed. Militarily, modern technologi­es and methods of political mobilisati­on have made it ruinously expensive to sustain the long-term occupation of people who do not want to be occupied.

So I think it will be hard for New Zealand to reconquer Istanbul even if it wants to. Turkey is safe. But the old tribal buttons are still there to be pushed, and there are plenty of populist demagogues willing to push them.

Trump has his border wall (‘‘criminal’’ Mexicans) and his antiMuslim immigratio­n controls (‘‘terrorist’’ Muslims). Orban has the Jews (the enemy within Hungary’s borders) and Muslim refugees (the enemy without). Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, now in election mode, has Muslims both within India’s borders (cow killers) and beyond them (Pakistani nukes and terrorists).

And Erdogan just has New Zealanders. Must try harder.

 ?? AP ?? Turkish President Recep Tayyib Erdogan has used the Christchur­ch atrocity to rally support for his party in local elections.
AP Turkish President Recep Tayyib Erdogan has used the Christchur­ch atrocity to rally support for his party in local elections.
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