FU­TURE FORE­CAST­ING

NZ Business - - COVER STORY -

Quan­tum­run, a re­search and con­sult­ing agency that uses longterm strate­gic fore­cast­ing to help or­gan­i­sa­tions thrive from fu­ture trends (www.quan­tum­run.com) has a se­ries of time­line fore­casts for each year out to 2050.

Amongst the 107 fu­ture fore­casts it has for what 2019 will look like (all sourced to the orig­i­nal re­search/ ar­ti­cle) it is point­ing to­wards: • SpaceX gi­ga­bit in­ter­net satel­lites launch early in 2019, of­fer­ing a new, global in­ter­net ser­vice by the end of the year. • Fold­able phones to make a comeback, es­pe­cially smart­phones with fold­able screens; • NASA com­pletes the Un­manned Aerial Sys­tem Traf­fic Man­age­ment (UTM) to man­age drone traf­fic. • Euro­pean Union per­mits the use of self-driv­ing ve­hi­cles on roads through­out the EU. • World pop­u­la­tion fore­casted to reach 7,678,174,000.

And just one year fur­ther on in its fu­ture fore­cast­ing for 2020 Quan­tum­run says: • In­dia com­pletes a mas­sive op­ti­cal fiber net­work that con­nects 600 mil­lion ru­ral cit­i­zens to the in­ter­net. • The Paris cli­mate change deal

comes into ef­fect. • So­lar be­comes more eco­nom­i­cal than reg­u­lar elec­tric­ity in more than half of the US. • Cancer treat­ments be­gin the same

day as di­ag­no­sis. • Ro­bot ex­oskele­ton to help el­derly per­sons re­main ac­tive be­comes widely avail­able. • First laser weapons used in

com­bat. • China com­pletes the world's

largest rail sys­tem (120,000 km). • New Zealand’s “Re­build­ing of

Christchurch” is fully built. • Share of global car sales taken by au­ton­o­mous ve­hi­cles equals five per­cent.

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