Otago Daily Times

Increase in pessimists — survey

- PAUL MCBETH

WELLINGTON: New Zealand consumer confidence fell to a sevenmonth low in November as households grew less optimistic about the economy’s fortunes.

The ANZ Roy Morgan consumer confidence index declined to 123.7 this month from 126.3 in October, falling for a second month while remaining at historical­ly elevated levels.

The current conditions index edged up 0.6 of a point to 124.6, while the future conditions measure dropped 4.6 points to 123.2.

Of the 1000 respondent­s, a net 18% saw good economic times in the coming 12 months, down from 25% in October, and a net 23% were upbeat over the coming five years, compared to 25% a month earlier.

Both instances were increases in the number of pessimists rather than a decline in the level of optimists.

‘‘Consumers appear to be looking through housing headwinds and the recent period of political uncertaint­y, seemingly happy to go with the flow, but with a cautious eye to the future,’’ ANZ senior economist Phill Borkin said.

‘‘The overall economic story still seems reasonable right now, but it is fair to say it has become a little more nuanced.’’

New Zealand’s economy has been buoyed by robust tourism, record migration, and a booming constructi­on sector in recent years.

However, uncertaint­y over the September election and formation of a new government raised concerns about what impact a new policy regime would have on areas such as housing, where prices have been soaring due to an undersuppl­y of stock.

This survey shows a growing number of pessimists on the outlook for consumers’ own financial state, with a net 15% saying they were better off now than they were a year ago, unchanged from October, but a net 29% predicting they will be better placed in 12 months’ time, down from 34%. — BusinessDe­sk

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