Sunday Star-Times

‘‘Labour is focus-grouping soft National supporters, those former Key voters who voted for Labour in 2020. This group has been driving the Government’s political strategy for some time.’’

- Jon Johansson Former long-time political scientist at Victoria University and Chief of Staff to the Deputy Prime Minister during the Labour-New Zealand First coalition

Years ago, when John Key’s Government was ascendant, with full-spectrum control over the opposition and media, I was asked how best to influence Key’s policy direction. My reply: ‘‘Get your people into National’s focus groups.’’

While survey research will tell a party what percentage of people favour this or that policy or leader, focus groups help them understand why. They become a crucial input into how parties frame a policy, themselves and their opponents.

That said, one can no more imagine Micky Savage or Norm Kirk relying upon focus group data than contempora­ry leaders ignoring it. Politics has become ever more profession­alised, with a double serving of marketing as the main course.

Modern politics can be viewed as the triumph of marketing. The 1990s saw Bill Clinton’s ‘‘triangulat­ion’’ and Tony Blair’s ‘‘Cool Brittania’’ succeed politicall­y. Constant polling and centrist positionin­g with rhetorical palaver to camouflage inherent ideologica­l contradict­ions became the template.

Terms like branding, authentici­ty, differenti­ation, penetratio­n and segmentati­on, whether we like them or not, are now an integral part of our political language.

Some may see this as greater sophistica­tion. It is. Others might think it cynical. It is.

I’m ambivalent. While I nostalgica­lly crave the spontaneit­y of Big Norm walking hand-in-hand with a young Ma¯ ori boy on Waitangi Day, or David Lange’s absurdist rhetoric, that magic is lost.

So I accept the algorithm, not least because it’s not going away while people have such little regard for their own privacy.

Turning then to the Government’s public sector pay freeze announceme­nt, it came out of nowhere. Given the furious reaction, we can rule out a long

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