No idea what’s driv­ing cli­mate change

Taranaki Daily News - - Opinion -

Can I sug­gest that Colin Bell con­duct some re­search on green­house gases (GHG) ther­mal and in­fra-red spec­tro­scopic be­hav­iours be­fore blam­ing cli­mate change on the oil and gas in­dus­try.

The ques­tion he needs to ask him­self is why all the es­tab­lished science around GHG ther­mo­dy­nam­ics and IR be­hav­iour is ig­nored by the cli­mate science com­mu­nity. The rea­sons will take an­other ar­ti­cle to ex­plain. But I would like to quote one of the top global cli­mate sci­en­tists, Dr Kevin Tren­berth, an ad­vo­cate of global warm­ing caused by hu­mans. This quote is from his 2015 pa­per en­ti­tled ‘‘Cli­mate vari­abil­ity and re­la­tion­ships be­tween top-of at­mo­sphere ra­di­a­tion and tem­per­a­ture on earth’’. The fi­nal sen­tence of the pa­per’s ab­stract says ‘‘The ob­ser­va­tional record is too short, weather noise too great, and forc­ing too small to make re­li­able es­ti­mates of cli­mate sen­si­tiv­ity’’. (Cli­mate sen­si­tiv­ity is de­fined as re­sponse to a CO2 dou­bling).

Your con­clud­ing re­mark on pub­lic opin­ion and gov­ern­ment poli­cies re­flect­ing pub­lic opin­ion is so true.

Sadly, the pub­lic, and in this case the NZ gov­ern­ment, has no idea about is­sues driv­ing cli­mate change and for that I blame the In­ter­gov­ern­men­tal Panel on Cli­mate Change (IPCC). It is only when sci­en­tists retire from their gov­ern­ment fund­ing or­gan­i­sa­tions that some of them feel lib­er­ated to com­ment on science rather than po­lit­i­cal science.

To quote an ex-IPCC re­viewer, Dr Vin­cent Gray, PhD in Phys­i­cal Chem­istry from Uni­ver­sity of Cam­bridge UK: ‘‘The Global Warm­ing Scam has been per­pe­trated in order to sup­port the en­vi­ron­men­tal­ist be­lief that the earth is be­ing harmed by the emis­sion of green­house gases from the com­bus­tion of fos­sil fuels. The In­ter­gov­ern­men­tal Panel on Cli­mate Change (IPCC) was set up to pro­vide ev­i­dence for this be­lief.

‘‘They have pub­lished four ma­jor (now six) re­ports which are widely con­sid­ered to have proved it to be true. This pa­per ex­am­ines the ev­i­dence in de­tail and shows that none of the ev­i­dence pre­sented con­firms a re­la­tion­ship be­tween emis­sions of green­house gases and any harm­ful ef­fect on the cli­mate. It is the re­sult of 18 years of scru­tiny and com­ment on IPCC re­ports and of a study of the sci­en­tific lit­er­a­ture as­so­ci­ated with it.’’

Lauch­lan Duff, Oakura

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