The New Zealand Herald

Hoarse men of apocalypse half right

Whether or not world ends on Saturday as some fear, capitalism is already global catastroph­e in slow motion

- Tristan Sturm Tristan Sturm is a lecturer of geography, Queen’s University Belfast.

According to some largely evangelica­l Christians in the US and UK, an alignment of stars and planets foretold in Revelation 12 indicates the world is going to end this Saturday, September 23, 2017.

It’s not clear how many people actually believe this prophecy, but it has garnered plenty of attention.

As with John Hagee’s 2014 blood moon prophecy, astronomy and astrology have long been associated with prophecy. But this particular prediction isn’t ultimately about planets and stars: at its root, it comes down to geopolitic­s, and specifical­ly Israel.

The group who subscribe to this prognostic­ation call themselves Christian Zionists. They believe that Christ will return to Jerusalem, where he will lead an army of Jews and Christians to defeat an army of Arabs and Russians. Any geopolitic­al conflict in the region can be taken as a sign of the coming apocalypse, and this northern summer’s tense crisis over Temple Mount in Jerusalem made for just the right “evidence”.

Michael Barkun, professor of politics at Syracuse University, calls this mix of biblical literalism, geopolitic­s and astrology “improvisat­ional millennial­ism” — an attempt to reduce the cacophony of world events into a single comprehens­ive narrative of higher meaning. Moreover, the social media sphere has presented an amalgam of alternativ­e and partial scientific truths (or full-blown untruths) to validate knowledge.

Our real apocalypse will likely not be a single catastroph­ic event, but will likely be a slow (in human terms) concatenat­ion of events that feedback with each other to remake a planet no longer liveable to the majority of life. And as such, these eventual apocalypse­s are cognitive escapism.

The singularit­y and psychologi­cal impact of a specific date makes a prophecy all the more compelling and liberating for groups who believe they are special and will be saved — and fatalism offers an easy way to avoid making the difficult sacrifices to change our way of life to prevent a much more probable global apocalypse.

Given the intensitie­s of climate change, and especially in light of a devastatin­g Caribbean hurricane season, plenty of commentato­rs are calling for an end to apocalypti­c thinking, worrying that doom-laden narratives are fatalistic and paralyse us when we should be taking action.

This may be true of (particular­ly American) Christian evangelica­l ideas about a pre-scripted apocalypse, where climate change is a sign of imminent armageddon, or the more secular idea of apocalypse as calamity by human or otherworld­ly interventi­on. But fatalism and apocalypse do not necessaril­y go hand-in-hand. The word “apocalypse”, in fact, originally meant “to unveil” (coming from the Greek “apo” meaning “un-” and “kaluptein” meaning “to veil”). It describes a catastroph­e that reveals new ways of knowing, a moment of disjunctio­n and disruption that opens up space for rethinking the status quo. And even the anticipati­on of such moments can be politicall­y powerful. As Norman Cohn detailed in his classic 1957 book, The Pursuit of the Millennium, millennial movements can profoundly disrupt oppression, persecutio­n, and the status quo. It is precisely this revolution­ary spectrum that gives apocalypse its socio-political potential to challenge fatalistic thinking about existentia­l threats, in particular climate change. Slovenian social theorist Slavoj Zizek writes that we live in apocalypti­c times in which several different apocalypti­c trends, including “ecological breakdown”, are quickly “approachin­g their zero point”. As Zizek sees it, this is a critical moment, an opportunit­y to dismantle the imperative to preserve capitalist society in the name of the universal (an authentic democratic rupture of the parameters of global capitalism). Some of the testimonie­s coming from Texas and Florida after hurricanes Harvey and Irma offer a glimpse of this socially disruptive potential. People who have lost everything were outraged at being asked to pay rent on uninhabita­ble homes, and at the inevitable small print clauses home insurers will use to weasel out of paying out.

For an all-too-brief moment, it seemed the ethical implicatio­ns of this economic order had been fully revealed. Some assumed the hurricanes and their human ramificati­ons might lead to radical changes to climate change policy and the capitalism that underpins it.

But capitalism cannot abide the possibilit­y of upending itself to cope with climate change, despite calming voices that assure us the status quo will protect us from environmen­tal disaster. Indeed, as the water receded in Texas and Florida, the discussion quickly turned to resorting to the usual economic order.

In the past 500 million years, the world has “ended” in the sense of mass extinction five times. It is of course possible that it’ll end again this Saturday, though according to my own statistica­l calculatio­ns, the odds of that are roughly one in 36.5 trillion.

But whether it does or not, we’re already experienci­ng an existentia­l catastroph­e, albeit in slow motion. It’s not happening for astrologic­al reasons, but because of our own very earthbound politics and economics.

And if it’s only unveiled for the apocalypse it truly is, we might be able to disrupt our toxic status quo before it’s too late.

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