The New Zealand Herald

How to avoid an unwanted gift of Covid at Christmas

- Jamie Morton

An epidemiolo­gist just honoured for his role as a pandemic evidencebr­oker is urging Kiwis to avoid becoming part of a summer wave that could push daily Covid-19 cases to 11,000.

Otago University’s Professor Michael Baker, who has become one of New Zealand’s most visible and trusted experts, last night received the Royal Society Te Apārangi’s Callaghan Medal for science communicat­ion.

Speaking to the Herald before a Wellington ceremony, Baker said he wanted to see the Government communicat­e more itself about Covid-19 — specifical­ly about how people could protect themselves against the coronaviru­s.

“Right now, the numbers are telling us that, with every 100 cases, one person is going to hospital; with every 1000, someone’s dying; and with every 20 cases or perhaps fewer, someone is going to get Long Covid, which may be quite debilitati­ng,” he said.

“What I’d say to people is that this could be you — and that we all need to avoid becoming infected or reinfected, because it can mean running a gauntlet of risks.”

Last week, health officials warned cases over summer could peak at more than 11,000 cases a day and 100 hospital admissions a day, mirroring infection rates recorded in July. As Kiwis begin planning social gatherings and holiday trips, Baker said people needed to keep basic precaution­s in mind. For individual­s, that meant ensuring they were up to date with their vaccinatio­ns, getting tested if they displayed any symptoms, and isolating if they tested positive.

“If you’re organising the office Christmas party, it’s a good idea to have a testing policy,” he said, adding well-ventilated venues were ideal. “We’ve now had a lot of experience with this, having organised a few events, and there’s always a handful of people who unexpected­ly test positive.”

Kiwis needed to be just as vigilant at family functions — particular­ly when visiting elderly or vulnerable people — but also be aware of potentiall­y life-saving tools like anti-viral tablets.

“I think there’s now enough evidence to say that mask mandates are needed back on public transport. From the Government, we also need clear, detailed guidelines for the public about how to use these tools. So far, we’ve had very anodyne, highlevel messages; I think we do need more detail for people around how to run safe workplaces, schools and social events.”

Baker’s latest honour — which followed his Prime Minister’s Science Communicat­ion Prize and Wellington­ian of the Year in 2021 — acknowledg­ed his contributi­on to raising public awareness to the value of science. That included his strong scientific advocacy for the eliminatio­n strategy and other measures that contribute­d to an initial Covid-19 response estimated to have saved thousands of lives.

“This award is strong acknowledg­ement that communicat­ion to policymake­rs and the public is an essential part of scientific research and knowledge translatio­n,” said Baker, who’s given more than 5000 media interviews on Covid-19, while leading or co-authoring more than 40 peer-reviewed publicatio­ns.

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Michael Baker

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