China lifts ‘boiling frog’ strategy in the Pacific
China is pursuing a “boiling frog” strategy to imperceptibly raise its level of aggression in the Asia-Pacific region, the outgoing regional US commander has warned.
Admiral John Aquilino, of the Indo-Pacific Command, said Beijing was slowly and dangerously increasing pressure in the South China Sea.
The “boiling frog” strategy is based on the premise of how a frog reacts to being cooked – if it’s put in boiling water to begin with, it will immediately jump out.
However, if the frog is first put in cold water and the temperature then raised it will be unaware of the danger it’s in until it’s too late.
China had increased its belligerence over the past three years he had been in post, Admiral Aquilino added. “It’s getting more aggressive, they’re getting more bold and it’s getting more dangerous.”
A former “top gun” pilot, Admiral Aquilino recalled several tense episodes during his time in the post. In particular, he cited the furore when Nancy Pelosi, then speaker of the United States House of Representatives, landed in Taiwan. While the visit from the senior Democrat was hailed by all parties in Washington, it infuriated Beijing and there were even calls on Chinese social media to shoot down her plane.
China regarded the visit as evidence of the Biden administration adopting a more aggressive approach to Beijing.
“The misinterpretation by the Chinese gave me a concern that they might actually take actions that could be detrimental,” the admiral added.
Other evidence of increased Chinese aggression includes the coastguard being more active around the Taiwanese islands of Kinmen and Matsu.
“This is the pressure campaign in action. I’ve watched it increase in scope and scale, it is not slowing down,” he added. “It is only getting more aggressive.”
In February 2023, Chinese spy balloons were spotted flying in the US. However, none have flown over the US mainland, Guam or Hawaii since.
The admiral also voiced concern over deepening ties between China, Russia and North Korea.
His remarks were published days after the US Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, said following a three-day visit to Beijing, that relations between the two countries had improved in recent months – despite warning that he had seen evidence of China trying to influence the result of the presidential election. – Telegraph Group