The Timaru Herald

Consumer confidence up

- Tom Pullar-Strecker

People aren’t expecting the Government’s efforts to cool house prices to turn around the housing market, ANZ’s latest survey of consumer confidence suggests.

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index rose four points to 115 in April, a little shy of its historical average of 120, the bank said.

On average, people expected house prices to climb a further 6 per cent over the year ahead, which was barely changed on their expectatio­ns before the Government announced a raft of measures to cool the market late in March.

Aucklander­s and South Islanders were more downbeat, but that was cancelled out by a rise in expectatio­ns for house price rises elsewhere in the North Island.

‘‘Household house price inflation expectatio­ns appear to have peaked, but do not appear to be meaningful­ly retreating in light of recent policy changes,’’ ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner said.

People’s assessment of their own financial situation rose to a postCovid high, with a net 10 per cent of the 1004 respondent­s saying they were better off than a year ago, and a net 31 per cent expecting to be better off than they were now by this time next year.

But Zollner said people continued to be ‘‘much warier about buying a major household item than exceptiona­lly strong house price inflation expectatio­ns would suggest they should be’’, reflecting continuing uncertaint­y about the economic outlook.

‘‘Their self-reported wariness about spending would normally be a reliable indicator that retailers are doing it tough, but people have in fact been spending anyway.’’

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