Disaffected Kiwi youth pose a terror risk
Work needed to build closer communities and fight radicalisation — intelligence
“Disaffected youth” in New Zealand are at risk of being radicalised and should be a key focus in combating terrorism, according to a high-level committee set up to advise our security services.
The committee also says more work needs to be done to build closer communities as a way of fighting terrorism.
New Zealand’s security risk remains at “low” after being heightened in 2014 with an assessment a domestic terrorism event is possible but not expected.
But intelligence sources have told the Weekend Herald the possibility of an attack is constant and it is a matter of “when” and not “if ” terrorism will appear in New Zealand.
The warning about disaffected youth comes from the Strategic Risk and Resilience Panel, a committee of “free thinkers” set up in the centre of government to forecast threats to national security.
Details of meetings of the panel, released through the Official Information Act, show the panel’s focus was developing a “risk register” which posed specific security threats to New Zealand.
The full minutes of the meeting were withheld but the Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet released a summary showing the panel was provided a “draft profile” assessing the risk posed by terrorism.
It showed key issues included “the importance of continuing to focus on the threat of radicalisation of disaffected youth”.
It also stated there was a need for “a more forward looking approach in particular focused on community cohesion” and “more focus needed on the drivers of domestic extremism”.
Examples given to the panel were “those radicalised due to strong positions on ecological and technological issues” but the security services have previously expressed concerned over online targeting by Islamic extremists.
NZ Security Intelligence Service director Rebecca Kitteridge has previously told the Weekend Herald that use of Facebook and other social media to foster extremism was part of the reason for increasing our security risk level from “very low” to “low”.
Massey University’s Terry Johanson, a lecturer at the Centre for Defence and Security Studies, said disenfranchisement was a significant factor in radicalisation and recruiting.
“It needs to be because they feel disenfranchised from their own
society. That tends to be because these people don’t have the community framework around them.”
Johanson, who has a background in military intelligence, said closer communities were an element in fighting that dangerous disaffection because people didn’t tend to attack groups of which they were part.
He said widening gaps between social groups worked against closer communities.
Asked about the gap between rich and poor in New Zealand, he said: “If it continues to widen, you’re not going to have that sense of community. Enhancing community is a way of ensuring people in New Zealand have a sense of belonging.”
The Strategic Risk and Resilience Panel was an innovation of former Prime Minister Sir John Key’s time as minister for national security and came when the bureaucratic systems designed to protect New Zealand were massively upgraded.
It was said to reflect Key’s belief that “we’re living in the most dangerous times ever”.
The office of new Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern was asked if it will be retained. There has been no response.
Panel members are invited to speak to ODESC — the committee of officials who are the central cog in New Zealand’s national security system — on issues considered relevant, while an ODESC member sits in on its meetings.
The key issue identified in the summary of the minutes was the need to create an overarching “risk register” which forecast dangers to our country and ways to meet the threats.
The development of a register would meet a gap in our security system identified by Johanson in the recently released New Zealand National Security book.