Weekend Herald

Wage rise may keep critics at bay

- Lex comment Lex is a premium daily commentary service from the Financial Times

A fair wage for a day’s work has not often applied to the retail workplace. Walmart has long been the bogeyman of the dead-end retail job. But in recent years it has tried to wear a kinder, more progressiv­e face. A few years ago it announced that it would lift its minimum wage to US$11 ($15.20) even as the federal mandate stood at just US$7.25 an hour. Yesterday, it raised its own bar, boosting the average minimum for 425,000 “associates” to at least US$15 an hour. The rise happens to coincide with Washington’s efforts to raise the federal minimum wage to that level.

The group’s largesse came just as it announced a blowout fiscal 2020. Free cashflow exploded by 70 per cent to US$26 billion, as the retailer paid out US$9b to shareholde­rs in dividends and buybacks. It has plenty of capacity to raise wages – a US$3 an hour boost, for example, would cost about US$2b – while keeping shareholde­rs’ pockets full. But activists and liberal politician­s will not be so easily satisfied.

Employers and business interest groups once howled about mandated wage increases acting as job killers. But then, in a tight labour market, basic economics dictated that employee remunerati­on should increase. Economic studies have generally shown that employment levels hardly declined when state and local minimum wages rose. A recent study from the Congressio­nal Budget Office concluded that any job losses would be mostly offset by the number of people lifted from poverty.

For the likes of Amazon and Walmart, whose massive scale allows them to better absorb wage increases, the real battle concerns staff unionisati­on and workplace conditions (the New York attorneyge­neral has just sued Amazon over the latter). Kroger, America’s largest pure-food retailer, has recently shut stores in cities that have mandated “hazard” pay for frontline workers. Its operating margin of roughly 3 per cent is slightly lower than Walmart’s at 4 per cent. Investing that difference to keep Walmart’s critics at bay looks worthwhile.

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