Line in the sand for Legarto and trainer has back-up plan
Trainer Ken Kelso has drawn his line in the sand for whether hot favourite Legarto starts in today’s $400,000 Arrowfield Plate at Hastings and has a back-up plan if she doesn’t.
Like so many of the trainers with runners in today’s Group 1, Kelso has been checking the weather reports every few hours as he doesn’t want to start his Australian Guineas winner on a heavy track.
With rain every day this week, the Hastings track was rated a heavy9 yesterday morning but with drying winds forecast. Yet the information Kelso trusts the most comes from fellow horsemen.
“I have spoken to a local trainer and we also heard from one of the jockeys who walked the track today and they thought it felt more like a soft7,” says Kelso.
“What worries me is rain on the day so our decision won’t be until as late as possible tomorrow [7.30am scratching time] and if the track is rated a heavy8 then and there is rain forecast, she won’t get on the truck.
“But if the track comes up slow in the morning and it is not raining then she will go down.”
Trainers such as Kelso and Katrina and Simon Alexander, who train La Crique, also want a slow track at worst.
They have the option of leaving their horses in the field and if there is rain on the day that downgrades the track they are allowed to scratch.
But Kelso would rather not make the trip all the way to Hastings to not start so he will be in for a busy morning today on the phone before scratching time.
If Legarto doesn’t start today she will race in her hometown Matamata Cup next Saturday over 1600m.
“It is our back-up plan because it would give her four weeks before her main aim, the Golden Eagle in Sydney,” says Kelso.
If she starts and the track is in the slow range then Legarto is still the one to beat.
Even if the moisture content may slightly dull her sprint, she has thrived since her first-up third and she has the draw to swoop — her ideal racing style.
If she is withdrawn that would mean a heavy track and that would be perfect for Mustang Valley, who ploughs through the same mud that could bog her key rivals.
Under those circumstances the hardest runner to assess is Sharp ’N’ Smart, who was dour over 1400m on the first day of the carnival but has won a Group 2 on a heavy track in Sydney and could be a big improver today.
A heavy track will also bring Justaskme and Aromatic into play as long odds place chances.
A horse who shouldn’t be too adversely affected by a wet track is Hawke’s Bay Guineas favourite Tokyo Tycoon (R5, No 1).
He has won on a heavy surface and was so dominant against many of today’s opposition last start he would need to regress or suffer bad luck in the running to be beaten.
His key rival for the 2000 Guineas at Riccarton in November, Crocetti, was again brilliant winning at Te Rapa yesterday to remain unbeaten in four starts.
The two star three-year-olds and the also unbeaten Lupo Solitario remain on track to all clash in the Sarten Memorial at Te Rapa on October 21.