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Forecasters have confirmed the arrival of El Niño, the warming of the equatorial Pacific that is known to disrupt weather patterns worldwide. This year’s El Niño is expected to be among the strongest in decades and could persist into early...
After numerous false dawns, the US and Iran have both declared that they’ve reached a framework agreement to end their war. Both have affirmed news of a document to be signed on Friday that would presumably not just call off hostilities but...
The outcome will depend not just on total rainfall but also its distribution. A positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), characterized by warmer waters in the western Indian Ocean relative to the eastern Indian Ocean, can offset some of El...
On 11 June, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the US announced the emergence of El Niño in the equatorial Pacific. The event is forecast to strengthen through the year, peaking around NovemberDecember and...
Since 1951, 12 of the 17 El Niño years have coincided with belownormal or deficient rainfall. Rainfall is considered below normal when it is 90–95% of the long-period average (LPA), and deficient when it falls by more than 10% below that...
Again, much will depend on the distribution of rainfall. India has ample public stocks of rice and could absorb a shortfall in the main kharif crop. But rain-fed pulses and oilseeds are more vulnerable to deficient rainfall in key growing...
India receives around 75% of its annual rainfall during the JuneSeptember monsoon season. The consequences of a weak monsoon extend beyond farming. Monsoon rains recharge groundwater, replenish reservoirs and support water supplies...
