Business a.m.

The Opportunit­ies and Dangers of Decentrali­zing Finance

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Decentrali­zed Finance — or DeFi — has experience­d explosive growth in the past year. But in order for DeFi to fulfill its promise as a disinterme­diated ecosystem that helps rather than harms, “now is the time to evaluate its benefits and dangers,” write Wharton legal studies and business ethics professor Kevin Werbach and David Gogel, a recent Wharton MBA graduate, in the article that follows. Werbach is author of the book The Blockchain and the New Architectu­re of Trust and leads Wharton’s Blockchain and Digital Asset Project. Werbach and Gogel recently collaborat­ed with the World Economic Forum to create the Decentrali­zed Finance (DeFi) Policy-Maker Toolkit, providing guidance to regulators and blockchain watchers everywhere.

Intermedia­ries have always played essential roles within financial markets, facilitati­ng trust, liquidity, settlement, and security. Yet these benefits come with costs. Intermedia­tion contribute­s to slow settlement cycles, inefficien­t price discovery, and limitation­s on market access. Financial services markets tend to be highly concentrat­ed, with a few powerful intermedia­ries exercising

tracting substantia­l rents. Since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, there has been increased attention on structural inequaliti­es and hidden risks of the financial system. Recent controvers­ies such as the GameStop short squeeze, in which retail investors were blocked from trading during a period of volatility, also cast a spotlight on the shortcomin­gs of legacy

Until now, however, intermedia­tion was a necessary feature of finance. lending platforms such as Prosper and cryptocurr­ency exchanges such as Coinbase retain an important central role. This is the environmen­t in which Decentrali­zed Finance (DeFi) has emerged.

DeFi is a developing area at the intersecti­on of blockchain, digital assets, protocols seek to disinterme­diate finance through both familiar and new service arrangemen­ts. They use stable-value cryptocurr­encies known as stablecoin­s as assets, blockchain ledgers for settlement, and software-based smart contracts to execute transactio­ns automatica­lly.

The market experience­d explosive growth beginning in 2020. According to tracking service DeFi Pulse, the value of digital assets locked into DeFi services grew from less than $1 billion in 2019 to over $15 billion at the end of 2020, and over $80 billion in May 2021. Novel business models such as yield farming — in which holders of cryptocurr­encies earn rewards for providing capital to various services — and aggregatio­n to optimize trading across exchanges in real-time are springing up rapidly. Innovation­s such as flash loans, which are either repaid or automatica­lly unwound during the course of a transactio­n, open up both new forms of liquidity and unfamiliar risks.

Despite its scale and is still early in its maturation. Now is the time to evaluate its benefits and dangers. As with everything in the cryptocurr­ency world, hype around DeFi is sometimes out of control. Extraordin­ary — and unsustaina­ble — short-term returns warped investor expectatio­ns and attracted bad actors as well as innovative builders. Most DeFi activity is still speculativ­e and conducted by relatively sophistica­ted cryptocurr­ency holders. As mainstream usage grows, risks and regulatory considerat­ions will loom increasing­ly large.

This was the backdrop for a collaborat­ion we have been involved with for nearly a year between the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvan­ia and the World Economic Forum. Wharton’s Blockchain and Digital Asset Project assembled a global network of regulators, DeFi industry experts, and academics to bring clarity to the DeFi landscape. Our goal is to shed light on business dynamics of this fast-evolving ecosystem, identify key risk areas, and help policymake­rs develop appropriat­e strategies.

DeFi is a general term covering a variety of activities and business relationsh­ips. We define four re

vices; trust-minimized operation and settlement on a blockchain; non-custodial design; and systems that are open, programmab­le, and composable. We then identify six major DeFi categories — stablecoin­s, exchanges, credit, derivative­s, insurance, and asset management — as well as auxiliary services such as wallets and oracles (external informatio­n feeds). Most resemble traditiona­l on the surface. However, they operate without intermedia­ries. Many incorporat­e cryptocurr­encybased incentive structures to aggregate capital, mainpartic­ipate in governance decisions.

Within and beyond the categories described here, DeFi is evolving rapidly. Developers are experiment­ing with new services, business models, and combinatio­ns of DeFi protocols. Technologi­es are maturing. Services are moving to decentrali­zed management and governance of protocols. Tools are emerging to simplify the user experience on and across DeFi services. A

ing DeFi developmen­t will involve the compositio­n of financial primitives as “Money Legos” which can be reassemble­d in new and dynamic ways.

While DeFi is an exciting, fast-growing area, it also has its critics, risks, and unknowns. And indeed, there have already of fraud, successful attacks, governance controvers­ies, and other failures in the DeFi world. The underlying systems remain immature, with a variety of unresolved economic, technical, operationa­l, and public policy issues that will be important to address. Although some protocols have atand the associated network effects in a short period of time, the DeFi sector remains volatile. Activity to date has concentrat­ed on speculatio­n, leverage, and yield generation among the existing community of digital asset holders. The very flexibilit­y, programmab­ility, and composabil­ity that make DeFi services so powerful also expose new risks, from hacks to unexpected feedback loops among protocols.

Developers are actively working to address vulnerabil­ities and introduce new mechanisms to manage risks efficientl­y, but the process is ongoing. DeFi will ultimately succeed or fail based on whether it can fulfill its promise of open, trust-minimized, and non-custodial, yet still trustworth­y. Government action will play a role here. Poorly designed regulation could cut off innovation and push illicit activity undergroun­d. However, result in massive investor harm, widespread theft and illegal activity, abusive practices, and unsustaina­ble risks of catastroph­ic failures.

Our first report, DeFi Beyond the Hype, demystifie­s the DeFi phenomenon. It describes defining characteri­stics of DeFi services, the structure of the DeFi ecosystem, and emerging developmen­ts. Our second report, the Decentrali­zed Finance (DeFi) Policy-Maker Toolkit lays out a roadmap for addressing the serious public policy questions that DeFi

! " # categories of DeFi risks:

ational, legal compliance, and emergent. Some of these, such as liquidity risk, are familiar from tra

% convention­al considerat­ions such as counterpar­ty risk may actually be mitigated in DeFi due to the automated operation of smart contracts and the use of blockchain as a settlement mechanism. On the other hand, DeFi opens up a variety of novel risks such as smart contract failures, extraction of value by proof of work miners, and failures of decentrali­zed governance systems. The report helps policymake­rs assess these risks, and offers resources and guidance to address them in a balanced manner.

Put simply, policymake­rs and DeFi developers need to understand each other better. DeFi could be a vehicle to achieve important public policy goals of more efficient capital

- & tem, and better transparen­cy. Or it could produce harms that overwhelm the

' # to address these concerns. Better understand­ing of the DeFi phenomenon is

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