Business a.m.

Nigeria missing among top mobile subscripti­on gladiators

as customers head southward on back of sim registrati­on ban

- Zainab Iwayemi

Over the last few quarters, mobile subscripti­ons in Africa have continued to show impressive growth. Recent Ericsson Mobility report shows that mobile subscripti­ons in the region accounted for more than 20 percent of the global net additions that were recorded during the first quarter of 2021.

But while the continent continues to witness growth in the number of mobile subscriber­s, Nigeria has continued to dip in this respect since December when sales of sim cards was banned.

Report by the multinatio­nal company shows that South Africa emerged the country with the third-highest net additions of mobile subscriber­s globally after adding about 2 million new mobile subscripti­ons following India (26 million) and China (6 million) while the giant of Africa went missing from the top list as it continues to lose subscriber­s. Data by NCC shows that despite the resumption of sim registrati­on, Nigeria lost 3.7 million subscriber­s in April compared to the 3.65 million subscriber­s lost in March during the ban.

During the first quarter of 2021, total mobile broadband subscripti­ons reached around 8 billion. According to the global report, mobile broadband will likely push to 8.8 billion by the end of 2026 while unique mobile subscriber­s will grow from a total of 5.9 billion in Q1 2021 to 6.5 billion at the end of 2026 driven by the rise of smartphone penetratio­n and subscripti­ons associated with smartphone accounts.

5G network coverage on the rise

In spite of uncertaint­y and economic instabilit­y caused by COVID-19, the report shows that more than 160 service providers have launched commercial 5G services causing an uptick in 5G uptake.

According to the data, 5G subscripti­ons with a 5G-capable device grew by 70 million during the first quarter, to reach around 290 million while 4G subscripti­ons on the other hand increased by approximat­ely 100 million, exceeding 4.6 billion and equating 58 percent of all mobile subscripti­ons.

The growth in 5G network is widely attributed to China’s earlier engagement with 5G compared to 4G and the timely availabili­ty of devices from several vendors;

Apply Samsung and some other smartphone makers already have 5G enabled devices.

Similarly, the addition of gaming passes, packages sold as addons to regular data subscripti­ons that are appealing to gamers is a contributi­ng factor promoting 5G and low-latency experience­s.

Estimating 5G growth projection using the current growth rate, Ericsson projects that there will be close to 580 million 5G subscripti­ons by the end of 202 and 3.5 billion globally by 202 while 4G is expected to reach it peak during the year at 4.8 billio subscripti­ons before declinin to around 3.9 billion subscrip tions by the end of 2026 as mor subscriber­s vacates to 5G. Th report however added that 4G wil remain the dominant mobile ac cess technology by subscripti­o over the next 5 years.

While North East Asia has th highest 5G subscripti­on pen etration and is followed by Nort America, Gulf Cooperatio­n Coun cil countries and Western Europe North America is projected t have the highest share of 5 subscripti­ons of all regions at 8 percent by 2026.

Meanwhile, Africa is yet to se significan­t 5G presences as th region was marked as 0 using it ranking parameters even thoug there have been a few test-ru and launches.

However, in the projectio of Ericsson, 5G subscripti­on in sub-Saharan Africa will hit percent in 2026 while the Middl East and North Africa region wil grow by 15 percent during th same period driven by uptick i mobile broadband subscripti­on by growing population with in creasing digital skills and mor affordable smartphone­s.

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