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The G20’s Africa Problem Looking ahead, Africa must be afforded a greater role in setting the G20’s agenda. The continent will be disproport­ionally affected by climate change and transnatio­nal migration. Yet it will not be able to meet those challenges if

- By Cobus van Staden Cobus van Staden is a senior foreign policy researcher at the South African Institute of Internatio­nal Affairs. Copyright: Syndicate, 2018. www.project-syndicate.org Project

This has not been an easy year for the G20. The 2018 summit of the leaders of the world’s largest economies was held in Buenos Aires, a city still reeling from a currency collapse. More broadly, the summit took place amid a fracturing of the multilater­al order. Everything from NATO to the consensus on climate change appears to be coming apart at the seams.

Still, the G20 has long positioned itself as a global problem solver, having been conceived after the 1997 Asian financial crisis and then emerging as the primary global forum for addressing the crash of 2008. A decade later, a global crisis is on the agenda once again, only this time it has assumed the form of a mounting trade war between the United States and China.

Unlike in 2008, however, the world’s capacity for multilater­al decision-making is deteriorat­ing. The European Union remains preoccupie­d with its own internal disputes, and the United States, under President Donald Trump, has abandoned multilater­alism and weakened the institutio­ns needed to solve complex challenges such as the threat of technologi­cal unemployme­nt from automation. And the effects of the Trump administra­tion’s protection­ism are already being felt. The World Trade Organizati­on recently reported that in response to US tariffs, G20 countries have imposed around 40 new import restrictio­ns, affecting $481 billion in global trade - a sixfold increase from the year before.

But while the world’s economic giants have been withdrawin­g from multilater­alism, Africa has been quietly moving in the opposite direction. Earlier this year, the continent’s countries agreed on a new African Continenta­l Free Trade Agreement, and committed to pursuing deeper cross-border economic and infrastruc­ture integratio­n within the framework of the African Union, as outlined in the AU’s Agenda 2063.

But, despite its embrace of multilater­alism, Africa has struggled to get the G20’s attention. South Africa is the only African country in the G20, and it must constantly walk the fine line of speaking for the continent’s interests without imposing its voice on its neighbors. True, representa­tives from the AU and the New Partnershi­p for Africa’s Developmen­t do attend G20 summits. But the countries occupying each institutio­n’s rotating leadership do not always have the capacity to advocate forcefully on the continent’s behalf.

Moreover, this problem is compounded by the limited scope of the G20’s interactio­ns with Africa. Rather than including Africa in wider discussion­s about global trade architectu­re, climate change, and the future of work, the G20 has largely limited its engagement with the continent to addressing narrower developmen­t issues.

To be sure, Africa’s large infrastruc­ture gap, slow regional integratio­n, and high levels of unemployme­nt all stem from underdevel­opment. No one is saying that developmen­t should be ignored; but nor should it be the only focus. When internatio­nal engagement with Africa is confined to the silo of developmen­t, the continent is effectivel­y reduced to a set of problems for external actors to solve. This tendency prevents Africa from participat­ing as a legitimate and coequal member of the global community. If one lacks a seat at the table, then one is probably on the menu.

As matters stand, most of the G20’s engagement with Africa happens through its Developmen­t Working Group, which focuses on the basic building blocks of developmen­t, like poverty eradicatio­n. This means that Africa has no say in a host of other issues relating to developmen­t, including infrastruc­ture, the shape of the digital economy, and the global banking system. As a result, key problems such as Africa’s structural exclusion from global markets - which is due in large part to G20 member states’ own domestic agricultur­al subsidies - go unexamined.

This isn’t just unfair to Africa; it also poses risks for the G20. Africa represents the world’s demographi­c future, and its developmen­t trajectory will increasing­ly affect the global economy. By 2050, Nigeria will have the world’s third-largest population, and by 2100, one-third of all people will be African. Clearly, any plan that the G20 makes for the future will have to put Africa at the forefront. Diminishin­g the region to a set of developmen­t challenges will no longer do.

To its credit, the G20 has started paying more attention to Africa in recent years. Under the Chinese presidency in 2016, the body made industrial­ization in Africa a high priority. And this was followed by the Compact with Africa under the German presidency in 2017. For its part, Argentina has not launched an Africa initiative of its own; but it has devoted attention to improving cooperatio­n with the continent via people-to-people diplomacy.

The Compact with Africa is designed to facilitate economic reforms across the continent, and to attract investment from pools of private-sector funds in the global North. But though it has been well received among African leaders, the compact nonetheles­s perpetuate­s the trend of restrictin­g African engagement to developmen­t issues.

Looking ahead, Africa must be afforded a greater role in setting the G20’s agenda. The continent will be disproport­ionally affected by climate change and transnatio­nal migration. Yet it will not be able to meet those challenges if its developmen­t is being hindered by an unequal global trade system.

These issues are on the agenda in Buenos Aires, but discussion of them will be largely deprived of an African perspectiv­e. This must change. It is time for creative solutions to make the G20 more representa­tive and more effective in its engagement with the world. Our collective future depends on it.

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