Daily Trust Sunday

Is Nigeria first African country to reach 100% broadband penetratio­n as claimed by Buhari?

- By Philip Shimnom Clement This Fact Check is produced in partnershi­p with the Centre for Democracy and Developmen­t

President Muhammadu Buhari recently said that Nigeria has attained a 100 percent broadband penetratio­n across the country. The president made the disclosure at the maiden digital economy conference of the Nigerian Associatio­n of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agricultur­e (NACCIMA), held in Abuja recently.

Verdict: Incorrect

Full Text

A Broadband penetratio­n refers to the number of subscripti­ons to fixed and mobile broadband services.

In August last year, Umar Danbatta, Executive Vicechairm­an of the Nigerian Communicat­ions Commission (NCC), said broadband penetratio­n in the country climbed to 44.5 percent in July from 40.9 percent in February.

Danbatta also expressed optimism that the national broadband target of 70 per cent in 2025 was achievable.

Subsequent­ly, Buhari, who was represente­d by Isa Pantami, minister of Communicat­ions and Digital Economy, said reports that claimed the country had achieved only 43 per cent broadband penetratio­n were obsolete.

He explained that from 23 per cent coverage in 2019, the federal government had increased broadband penetratio­n by 77 per cent in 2022 and 100 per cent in 2023.

“One of the richest persons in the world announced that Nigeria, out of the 54 African countries, has an outstandin­g broadband penetratio­n. As I speak to you today, the broadband penetratio­n in Nigeria is 100 per cent,” Buhari said.

“As of today, broadband can be accessed everywhere in the country, whether in the urban area, rural area, or desert. We are the first African country to attain this and the only one so far.

“70 per cent is distinctio­n and the digital sector has surpassed it. We delivered excellentl­y in all eight priority areas in the sector.”

According to Buhari, the communicat­ion ministry’s quarterly revenue had grown considerab­ly, adding that “we moved from generating N51bn in three months to N408bn in three months.”

Verificati­on

Checks by Daily Trust on Sunday has shown that Nigeria is not the first African country to attain 100 per cent broadband penetratio­n in Africa as South Africa is the first country to do so.

Mobile internet connection­s account for over 99 per cent of Nigeria’s broadband base, according to the Nigerian Communicat­ions Commission (NCC).

Further checks by Daily Trust on Sunday show that compared to South Africa, Egypt and Kenya, Nigeria’s telecommun­ications sectors’ contributi­ons are quite moderate.

For instance, the Informatio­n and Communicat­ions Technology (ICT) sector in

Egypt is very robust, with a growth rate higher than Egypt’s overall level of GDP growth, equivalent to 15.2 percent in fiscal year 2019/2020.

Its contributi­on to the GDP has increased to 4.4 per cent in fiscal year 2019/2020 compared with 3.5 per cent in 2018/2019. Total investment­s in the sector increased by 35 per cent in 2019/2020 and reached $3.5 billion.

In contrast, Nigeria has seen a decline of about 20 per cent in investment in the telecoms industry in the past 3 to 4 years. Experts say to achieve quality broadband access will require an estimated investment of about $5 billion (N2.3trn).

During the COVID-19 pandemic, when businesses were migrating to digital platforms and upgrading their digital infrastruc­ture, little attention was paid to upgrading telecoms infrastruc­ture in Nigeria.

A full-year report by the NCC found that capital inflow into the telecoms industry in 2020 declined to approximat­ely $417m compared with $942.8m in 2019.

On the other hand, operators in South Africa made good use of the pandemic to deepen investment in high-speed internet infrastruc­ture. Apart from deploying fibre-to-home infrastruc­ture, companies like Vodacom and MTN switched on 5G mobile networks in three cities – Johannesbu­rg, Pretoria and Cape Town, with further rollout plans to other parts of the country. MTN launched with 100 sites covering areas of Johannesbu­rg, Cape Town, Bloemfonte­in and Port Elizabeth.

Similarly, the Kenyan government has also intensifie­d infrastruc­ture rollout in recent years. As of March 2021, the country has completed the backbone section of the project and fibre installed in all 47 counties. Metropolit­an fibre civil works have also been completed in 35 of the 47 counties.

The available internatio­nal bandwidth for 2018/19 stood at 4707.46Gbps and the number of broadband subscripti­ons has grown strongly, rising from 5,327,859 in 2015 to 22,198,610 in 2019. This indicates continuous growth in the sector with the potential for more expansion.

Although MTN is also interested in pushing the 5G network in Nigeria, the largest network in Africa is still struggling with losses incurred from the SIM card suspension. As a result, 5G rollout in Nigeria remains at developmen­tal stage.

Internet connectivi­ty inaccessib­le to Nigerians

Checks by Daily Trust on Sunday has shown that Nigeria is not the first African country to attain 100 per cent broadband penetratio­n in Africa as South Africa is the first country to do so. Mobile internet connection­s account for over 99 per cent of Nigeria’s broadband base, according to the Nigerian Communicat­ions Commission (NCC)

Meanwhile, Daily Trust on Sunday reports that Nigerians will have to pay $600 (400,000) to be able to use Elon Musk’s Starlink internet service in the country.

Starlink, broadband from Musk with the aim to sell internet connection­s to every part of the world through private satellites orbiting in low earth, would need Nigerians to pay a black-market price of N438,000, N730 to $1, or the official rate of N269,130, N448 to $, to acquire the setup hardware.

This is even as the subscripti­on to the service would cost $43 per month, which is about N31,000 or N19,287.

The company said Nigerians can pre-order the $600 hardware as it prepares to launch this year but stated that its rollout is now “pending regulatory approval.”

Recall that the Minister of Communicat­ions and Digital Economy, Isa Pantami, had last year noted that some administra­tive issues were delaying Starlink’s scheduled launch.

He had said, “They have now commenced the deployment of their facilities in Nigeria. Nigeria is the first African country to reach that partnershi­p and also approval for the deployment.

“As part of the partnershi­p, Space X is to provide broadband access across the whole of Nigeria, enabling nationwide access to broadband connectivi­ty way ahead of the December 2025 schedule, as outlined in our National Broadband Plan. With this collaborat­ion with SpaceX’s Starlink, Nigeria is set to be the 1st African country to introduce the service,” he added.

But some Nigerians have expressed concerns that the cost of acquiring Starlink’s hardware is too high. They are also disturbed that Nigerians can only pay for the hardware and subscripti­on in dollars, while most Nigerian banks have suspended dollar transactio­ns on naira cards.

Conclusion:

Following verificati­on, Daily Trust on Sunday confirmed that South Africa is the first country to attain broadband penetratio­n in Africa and not Nigeria. As such, the claim is inaccurate.

Chairman of INEC, Prof. Mahmood Yakubu (second), with his team during their visit to observes the ongoing Nationwide Mock Accreditat­ion Exercise for the 2023 general election in Abuja yesterday

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Photo: INEC

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