The Guardian (Nigeria)

COVID- 19 immunisati­on plans under scrutiny

• Experts say FG must conduct clinical trials on jab • Nigeria to isolate, confirm S’africa strain of virus

- By Chukwuma Muanya

NIGERIA’S plan to vaccinate 30 per cent of citizens against COVID- 19 this year could be delayed for scrutiny, after South Africa paused its rollout of Astrazenec­a’s coronaviru­s vaccine.

The South African move had followed a study, which showed that the vaccine offered reduced protection from the COVID- 19 variant first identified in the country. South Africa’s Minister of Health, Dr. Zweli Mkhize, said the hold would be temporary as scientists tried to figure out how to most effectivel­y deploy the vaccine.

Consequent­ly, Nigerian medical experts called for caution and greater scrutiny of vaccines ordered by the

Federal Government before they could be administer­ed on citizens. They expressed apprehensi­on over claims that the $ 8 Astrazenec­a vaccine, one of the cheapest and most suited for Nigeria, could be appropriat­ely stored and deployed with the country’s existing cold chain infrastruc­ture. According to the experts, it could cost the country a lot more than anticipate­d to procure, distribute and vaccinate targeted population with the COVID- 19 vaccine.

Interestin­gly, the Federal Government on Monday said Nigeria was no longer expecting the 100,000 doses of the Pfizer/ Biontech vaccine through the COVAX facility, but had been allocated about 16 million doses of the Astrazenec­a vaccine, which is expected to start arriving the country in two weeks.

COVID- 19 Vaccines Global Access, abbreviate­d as COVAX, is a global initiative aimed at equitable access to COVID- 19 vaccines led by the Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunizati­on ( GAVI), the World Health Organisati­on ( WHO), the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedne­ss Innovation­s ( CEPI), and others.

The FG, however, said the country is yet to isolate and confirm the circulatio­n of the South African COVID- 19 strain.

A public health physician and Executive Secretary, Enugu State Agency for the Control of AIDS ( ENSACA), Dr. Chinedu Arthur Idoko, told The Guardian yesterday that it was important for Nigeria to get more reliable, verifiable details of the exact strains/ variants of COVID- 19 it should be dealing with before exhaustive­ly engaging in vaccine procuremen­t.

“There has to be a more organised, precise and focused informatio­n gathering from the different hospitals/ COVID- 19 service outlets in the country on particular symptoms/ presentati­ons/ pathways of confirmed cases they have experience­d in the recent past,” he said.

Idoko said that Nigeria should not abandon the plans but would have to tread cautiously, taking a more appropriat­e and evidence- based decision on procuremen­t.

He said Nigeria could make its vaccine procuremen­t from any country, depending on whether or not it meets its preference­s and set targets. “If China offers that window, then it does serve an option,” the public health physician said.

A virologist/ vaccinolog­ist and Chief Executive Officer ( CEO) of Innovative Biotech, Keffi, Nasarawa State, and Innovative Biotech, United States of America ( USA), Dr. Simon Agwale, said the vaccine’s effectiven­ess in preventing severe illness was not establishe­d in the South African study, but expressed the hope that subsequent study would be looking to address the issue.

Agwale said efforts are already ongoing by manufactur­ers to develop a new generation of vaccines that would allow protection to be redirected to emerging variants as booster doses.

Agwale, who leads COVID- 19 vaccine task team of the African Vaccine Manufactur­ing Initiative, said the implicatio­n would be that Nigeria should immediatel­y set- up a systematic genomic surveillan­ce to first determine the proportion of the various variants in the country and then monitor emerging variants going forward.

Going forward, he said that Nigeria’s rollout should be evidence- based, which would require it to conduct small clinical trials, similar to what South Africa is doing, to determine the effectiven­ess of the vaccines before implementa­tion.

“Updating the vaccines is not a challenge because it will take about six to 12 weeks to update the current vaccines, but how will the vaccines be manufactur­ed at a scale to meet global demand? We are still battling to manufactur­e the first- generation vaccines for the world, and when then are we going to get the updated versions of the vaccines manufactur­ed?,” Agwale wondered.

A consultant Obstetrici­an and gynaecolog­ist and Medical Director, Optimal Specialist Hospital, Surulere, Lagos, Dr. Celestine Ugochukwu Chukwuneny­e, told The Guardian that Nigeria did not have the health facilities and manpower to achieve the feat of vaccinatin­g 140 million people in two years.

“Develop countries are battling with slow distributi­on of the available vaccines in their countries. They are able to handle the vaccines from various sources. We are certainly not. It is bordering on mere wishful thinking, to hope that by 2022 Nigeria would have vaccinated 70 per cent of her population.

“However, it is still better to start making the arrangemen­ts to vaccinate Nigerians now. With the added costs of Pfizer, Johnson and Johnson, and Moderna vaccines, it will seem practicall­y impossible for Nigeria to vaccinate 70 per cent of her population in two years.”

The physician, however, said Nigeria should not abandon the efforts to vaccinate her populace, but should look at other options of achieving the same objectives.

“China has become one of our trading partners and traditiona­l allies. There is nothing wrong with approachin­g China. We should be careful in our approach,” he said.

A consultant pharmacist, Dr. Lolu Ojo, however, argued that there was no global rejection of Astrazenec­a/ Oxford vaccine yet. According to him, the fact that South Africa ( SA) was slowing down on it should not invalidate the claims of the organisati­on regarding the efficacy of the vaccine.

“There’s really no serious threat to Nigeria’s plan on vaccinatio­n as a result of SA’S experience,” the pharmacist said.

Executive Director, National Primary Health Care Developmen­t Agency ( NPHCDA), Dr. Faisal Shuaib, told journalist­s on Monday that the country’s decision to switch to Astrazenec­a vaccine was based on epidemiolo­gical and equity assessment done by the WHO.

He said Nigeria was actually considered as one of the ready countries to receive the Pfizer vaccine, “but because the distributi­on intended to achieve public health value, it was not practical to provide every capable country with the Pfizer vaccine, due to its limited quantity. This necessitat­ed further review by a multiagenc­y committee to narrow down the selection process. WHO disclosed this informatio­n to us.

“As stated by the WHO Regional Director, a number of factors were considered in allocating the small quantity of 320,000 doses of the Pfizer vaccines to the 13 countries in Africa. These include mortality rate from COVID- 19, the number of new cases, the population of the countries involved and the availabili­ty of appropriat­e cold chain equipment. Evidently, Nigeria is by no means ahead of a country like South Africa in terms of mortality or incident rate of COVID- 19, and it is not the least populated in comparison to the other countries.

“Consequent­ly, the replacemen­t of the initial 100,000 doses of the Pfizer vaccines with the 16 million doses of the Astrazenec­a vaccine is in fact a welcome developmen­t, as it will enable a wider reach of our population and is a better option using our routine cold chain system; even though we still had an ultra cold chain capacity that would have been able to store more than 400,000 doses of the Pfizer vaccine.”

On the suspension by South African Government of their vaccinatio­n with the Oxford/ Astrazenec­a vaccine in response to findings from a study, which showed that the vaccine was less efficaciou­s against the B. 1.351 strain of the COVID- 19 virus, which is the predominan­t strain in South Africa, Shuaib said that Nigeria was yet to isolate the strain. “The NCDC working with Nigerian Institute for Medical Research ( NIMR) and other researcher­s will intensify the search for this strain from samples collected. In the meantime, we will continue to work with National Agency for Food and Drug Administra­tion and Control ( NAFDAC) to ensure that only a vaccine which is effective against the predominan­t COVID- 19 strain in Nigeria will be administer­ed.”

Minister of Health, Dr. Osagie Ehanire, said Nigeria subscribed to two multilater­al vaccine access platforms; the first being the COVAX facility that will supply members, including Nigeria, vaccines free of charge, to cover 20 per cent of country’s population.

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