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See Four-Year Report Card of Team Buhari (2015-2019) – Part 3...

Since her emergence as Finance Minister about eight months ago following the sudden resignatio­n of her predecesso­r, Kemi Adeosun, over certificat­e forgery, not much has happened under Zainab Shamsuna Ahmed, reports

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n spite of the economy exiting recession, there had been a subdued economic outlook, with downside risks persisting.

During the recent Article IV consultati­on in Nigeria by a team of the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund (IMF) economists to assess economic and financial developmen­ts and discuss the country’s economic and financial policies with government and central bank officials, many things stood out.

The IMF observed that although the Nigerian economy exited recession (real GDP increased by 1.9 per cent in 2018, up from 0.8 per cent in 2017), however growth is still too weak as a result of persisting structural challenges.

Among the team's observatio­ns include large infrastruc­ture gap, low revenue mobilisati­on, governance and institutio­nal weaknesses, and banking sector vulnerabil­ities, which according to the IMF, are dampening long-term foreign and domestic investment and keeping the economy reliant on volatile oil prices and production.

The IMF also noted that the current economic expansion is below where it ought to be to reduce poverty and improve human developmen­t indices, such as healthcare and education.

For the IMF, policy choices such as continued foreign exchange restrictio­ns, and petrol subsidies are the major culprits.

It noted that over the medium term, absence of strong reforms, growth would hover around 2½ per cent, implying no per capita growth as the economy faces limited increases in oil production and insufficie­nt adjustment four years after the oil price shock. Asphyxiati­ng Debt Burden

There has been growing apprehensi­on over the nation's burgeoning debt burden. This concern was again reinforced by the IMF during the recent Article IV Consultati­ons.

Acccording to the IMF, interest payments by the

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