IATA revises down air traffic forecast for Middle East
In 2021, the passenger demand in Middle East is expected to strengthen to 45 per cent of 2019 levels to reach 90mn travelers to/from/within the region
Amman, Jordan – The International Air Transport Association (IATA) downgraded its traffic forecast for the Middle East for 2020 to reflect a weaker-thanexpected recovery.
Full-year 2020 passenger numbers in the Middle East (to/from/within) are forecast to reach only 30 per cent of 2019 levels, down significantly from the 45 per cent that was projected in July, according to a press released issued by IATA.
In absolute numbers, the Middle East is expected to see 60mn travelers in 2020 compared to the 203mn in 2019.
In 2021, the demand in Middle East is expected to strengthen to 45 per cent of 2019 levels to reach 90mn travelers to/from/within the region. A full return to 2019 levels is not expected until late 2024, IATA said.
Regional travel picked up across the Middle East from the low point in April as countries in the region re-opened their borders.
However, international travel has remained heavily constrained owing to the return of government restrictions in the face of new COVID-19 outbreaks in a number of key markets. Forward bookings for air travel in the fourth quarter show a much slower recovery than had been expected previously, according to IATA.
“The slower than anticipated return to the skies for travelers in the Middle East is more bad news for the region’s aviation industry. A few months ago, we thought that a fall in passenger numbers to 45 per cent of 2019 levels was as bad as it could get. But the second wave, combined with continuing travel restrictions and quarantines, will result in passenger numbers in the region being less than a third of what we had in 2019,” said Muhammad Albakri, IATA’s regional vice president for Africa and the Middle East.
“This heightens the urgency for governments to adopt systematic COVID-19 testing to restart travel and curb the economic devastation that is being caused because people cannot travel,” he added.