China says wants economy to grow over 6% this year
Beijing, China - China’s leaders said on Friday they had set a target for GDP to grow more than 6 per cent this year, as the world’s second largest economy surges out of a pandemic-induced slump.
The global growth powerhouse stuttered in 2020, logging its slowest expansion in four decades as strict virus containment measures at home collided with a freeze in international trade.
The slowdown raised doubts about the Communist Party’s ability to deliver on its pledge of continued prosperity in return for unquestioned political power.
But with the coronavirus largely brought under control domestically, analysts expect a strong comeback, with some suggesting the economy could expand by as much as nine percent this year.
Beijing usually sets a target it feels it can exceed. It did not set one at all last year.
Announcing the figure at the start of the annual legislative session, Premier Li Keqiang said the government had ‘taken into account the recovery of economic activity’.
The target of over 6 percent also dovetails with future goals, Li said, and these include reform, innovation, and ‘high-quality development’.
Authorities say they want to create 11mn new urban jobs this year, and keep urban unemployment around 5.5 per cent.
Outside observers caution that China’s unemployment figures may not tell the whole story, with many people across the vast nation involved in the informal workforce.
Analysts had widely predicted the continued global uncertainty would make it tricky for China to set a GDP target again this year, and greeted the 6 per cent figure as deliberately cautious.
“The bar is set too low... [it’s] as if there is no target,” ING chief economist for Greater China Iris Pang told AFP.
This could be because Beijing does not want to slash its growth target next year, when distortions from the pandemic subside, added Nomura chief China economist Lu Ting.
Leaders also did not specify a growth target in its new five-year plan draft published on Friday, as is its usual custom, only saying it would be ‘maintained within a reasonable range’.
The post-COVID economic rebound saw China’s GDP growth recorded at about 2 per cent last year, which made it the only major economy to post positive figures in a year lost to the virus.