Asian shares at one-month low, default fears stalk Evergrande
MARKET CORRECTION INEVITABLE AS GROWTH FEARS RESURFACE SAYS ANALYST AS FED TAPERING DETAILS AWAITED IN CENTRAL BANK MEETING LATER IN THE WEEK
SYDNEY: Asian shares skidded and the dollar firmed on Monday ahead of a week packed with global central bank meetings, with a torrid session for the world’s most indebted property developer China Evergrande dragging Hong Kong stocks to a near one-year low.
Holidays in Japan, China and South Korea kept trading thin, and politics added extra uncertainty with elections in Canada and Germany bookending the week.
Shares of China Evergrande plummeted over 15 per cent after earlier losing as much as 19 per cent to over 11-year lows. Its listed units also fell, as investors worried about the real estate developer’s ability to repay a small portion of its $305 billion debt due this Thursday.
Evergrande’s troubles added to growing concerns about the health of China’s economy after Beijing’s recent crackdown on tech firms had haunted the region. The Hang Seng index shed 4 per cent, while Singaporetraded FTSE China futures fell by just as much.
MSCI’S broadest index of Asiapacific shares outside Japan slid 1.8 per cent to its lowest since August 24, with Australia down sharply by 2 per cent.
“It’s part of a correction which was due to some degree, and partly reflects prevailing uncertainties about the growth outlook’’, said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy at AMP Capital.
“And then, of course, that’s continued in the Asia time zone with the concerns about Evergrande in China adding to that weakness.”
Dow Jones futures were down 1 per cent and S&P 500 futures declined 0.8 per cent, after all three Wall Street indexes marked weekly losses on Friday after days of turbulence.
The Fed is still expected to lay the groundwork for a tapering at its policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, though the consensus is for an actual announcement to be delayed until the November or December meetings. Yields on 10-year Treasuries touched a two-month top and the curve flattened ahead of the meeting.
“A flatter yield curve suggests some fears the Fed may overdo the eventual hiking cycle’’, cautioned Tapas Strickland, a director of economics at NAB.
He noted only 2-3 FOMC members would need to shift their “dot plot” forecasts for a hike in 2022 to make it the median, given seven of 18 had already tipped a move next year.