Oil heads for biggest annual gain amidst global recovery
Global oil prices are expected to rise further as jet fuel demand catches up
NEW YORK: Oil prices fell on Friday but were set to post their biggest annual gains since at least 2016, spurred by the global economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic slump and producer restraint, even as infections reached record highs worldwide.
Brent crude futures fell 70 cents, or 0.9 per cent, to $78.85 a barrel at 10:16am EST (1516 GMT), while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures dropped 84 cents, or 1.09 per cent, to $76.15 a barrel, Reuters reported.
Brent is on track to end the year up about 52 per cent, its biggest gain since 2016, while WTI is heading for a 57 per cent gain, the strongest performance for the benchmark contract since 2009, when prices soared more
than 70 per cent.
Both contracts touched their 2021 peak in October, with Brent at $86.70 a barrel, the highest since 2018, and WTI at $85.41 a barrel, the highest since 2014.
Global oil prices are expected to rise further next year as jet fuel demand
catches up.
“We’ve had Delta and Omicron and all manner of lockdowns and travel restrictions, but demand for oil has remained relatively firm,” said Australian brokerage firm CommSec’s Chief Economist Craig James.
“You can attribute that to the effects of stimulus supporting demand and restrictions on supply.”
However, after rising for several straight days, oil prices stalled on Friday as COVID-19 cases soared to new pandemic highs across the globe, from Australia to the United
States, stoked by the highly transmissible Omicron coronavirus variant.
US health experts warned Americans to prepare for severe disruptions in coming weeks, with infection rates likely to worsen amid increased holiday travel, New Year celebrations and school reopenings following winter breaks.
A Reuters survey of 35 economists and analysts forecast Brent crude would average $73.57 a barrel in 2022, about 2 per cent lower than the $75.33 consensus in November. It is the first reduction in the 2022 price forecast since the August poll.
Easing production outages in Nigeria and Ecuador weighed on prices earlier this week.
With oil hovering near $80, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia and allies - together called OPEC+ - will probably stick to their plan to add 400,000 barrels per day of supply in February when they meet on January 4, four sources said.
Brent and US WTI crude futures rise more than 50 per cent in 2021, the strongest performance for the two benchmark contracts since 2009.